长江中游城市群旅游生态安全时空格局演变及影响  

Study on the Evolution and Influencing Factors of Tourism Ecological Safety in Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

作　　者：杨秋平 李乐军 YANG Qiu-ping;LI Le-jun(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha,Hunan 410000;School of Tourism,Taishan University,Taian,Shandong 271021)

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南长沙410081 [2]泰山学院旅游学院,山东泰安271021

出　　处：《泰山学院学报》2024年第3期65-74,共10页Journal of Taishan University

基　　金：山东省重点研发计划(软科学项目)“社会资本助力中小企业技术源创新机制与实现对策研究”(2023RKY03014)。

摘　　要：旅游生态安全是实现旅游业高质量发展的基础。基于DPSIR模型构建旅游生态安全评价体系,利用模糊物元模型测算2010-2019年长江中游城市群各城市的旅游生态安全水平,并探究其时空演变格局及影响机制。研究结果显示:在时序演变上,长江中游城市群的旅游生态安全水平呈现稳步上升的态势,但仍存在较大的提升空间;在空间分布上,由“东北低,西南高”的格局向“西北低,东南高”的格局演变;长江中游城市群旅游生态安全整体分布及其重心偏移轨迹均为“西北-东南”走向且空间分布趋于稳定;从整体看,城镇化率、经济增长率、产业结构和环境治理对长江中游城市群旅游生态安全呈现显著正向影响,人口密度对其具有显著负向影响。Tourism ecological security is the basis for achieving the high-quality development of tourism in⁃dustry.Based on the DPSIR model,this paper constructed the evaluation system of the tourism ecological se⁃curity,and the fuzzy matter element model was constructed to calculate the level of the tourism ecological se⁃curity of the cities which belong to the Urban Agglomeration in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River between 2010 to 2019.Last,the spatio-temporal evolution pattern was analyzed with the help of standard deviation ellipse.The research conclusions are as follows:In terms of temporal evolution,the tourism ecological security of the Urban Agglomeration in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River assumed a steady upward trend while there was still a large room for improvement;In terms of spatial distribution,it has generally evolved from the pattern in which it was lower in the northeastern region while higher in the southwestern region to the pattern where it was lower in the northwestern region while higher in the southeastern region;The overall distribution of the tourism ecological security in the Urban Agglomeration in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River and its center of gravity offset trajectory were"northwest-southeast";At the same time,the spatial distribution of tourism ecological security tended to be stable;On the whole,urbanization rate,economic growth rate,industrial structure and environmental governance have a significant positive impact on the tourism ecological security of urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River,while population density has a significant negative impact.

关 键 词：旅游生态安全 DPSIR驱动模型 TOBIT模型 长江中游城市群 

分 类 号：F592.3[经济管理—旅游管理]