黑龙江省林业可持续发展测度及协调性分析  

Measurement and Coordination Analysis of Forestry Sustainable Development in Heilongjiang Province

作　　者：方舒怡 夏一凡 FANG Shuyi;XIA Yifan(School of Economics and Management,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China;Development Research Center of National Forestry and Grassland Administration,Beijing 100013,China)

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨150040 [2]国家林业和草原局发展研究中心,北京100013

出　　处：《中国林业经济》2024年第3期19-30,共12页China Forestry Economics

基　　金：黑龙江省高校智库开放课题(ZKKF2022174)。

摘　　要：以黑龙江省林业可持续发展能力的测度及内部协调分析为目的,先将黑龙江省林业可持续划分为林业经济、社会、生态子系统并以2015—2019年为时间区间范围进行各子系统指标体系构建及数据获取,运用全排列多边形综合图示法对黑龙江省林业可持续发展综合指数及其子系统林业经济、社会、生态综合指数进行测算,后又引用距离协调度模型对黑龙江省林业可持续发展中子系统林业经济、社会、生态的协调发展关系进行定量分析。结果表明:黑龙江省林业可持续发展能力总体水平及等级在2015—2019五年间逐年稳步提高,其中子系统林业生态的增长贡献率较大,增长率较高,林业经济与社会子系统中单项指标的贡献差异有所变动,另外,林业经济与社会效益的协调度处于较高水平,发展水平与速度具有一致性,林业经济与生态效益的综合发展度及协调发展度有逐年增长态势,但社会与其余两个子系统间协调发展作用有减弱趋势,但总体而言,黑龙江省林业可持续发展2015—2019年五年间内部协调发展度水平仍处于初级状态,不断促进林业可持续发展各子系统之间的更高程度的融合发展具有现实意义。Aiming to measure and analyze the internal coordination of sustainable development in forestry sector of Heilongjiang Province,this study first categorizes the sustainable development of Heilongjiang’s forestry into economic,social,and ecological subsystems.The time frame spans from 2015 to 2019,during which the index systems for each subsystem are constructed and data is collected.The comprehensive index of sustainable development in Heilongjiang’s forestry,as well as the subsystems of forestry economy,society,and ecology,are calculated using the full permutation polygon comprehensive diagram method.Subsequently,the distance coordination degree model is applied to quantitatively analyze the coordinated development relationships among the subsystems of forestry economy,society,and ecology within the sustainable development of Heilongjiang’s forestry.The results indicate that the overall level and grade of sustainable development capacity in Heilongjiang’s forestry have been steadily improving year by year from 2015 to 2019.Among them,the ecological subsystem of forestry has a significant growth contribution rate and a high growth rate.There are changes in the contribution differences of individual indicators within the forestry economic and social subsystems.Additionally,the coordination degree between forestry economic and social benefits is at a relatively high level,with consistency in development level and speed.The comprehensive development degree and coordination degree of forestry economy and ecological benefits have shown an increasing trend over the years.However,there is a weakening trend in the coordinated development effect between the social subsystem and the other two subsystems.Overall,the internal coordination development level of Heilongjiang’s forestry sustainable development from 2015 to 2019 is still in its initial stage.It is significant to continuously promote a higher degree of integrated development among the various subsystems of forestry sustainable development.

关 键 词：黑龙江省 林业 可持续发展 三大效益 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]