数实融合推进新质生产力发展的逻辑机理和传导路径研究  

Research on the Mechanism and Path of Promoting the Development of New Quality Productivity Through the Integration of Digital and Real Economy

作　　者：陆敏[1] 任潇洒 周雪含 Lu Min;Ren Xiaosa;Zhou Xuehan(School of Statistics and Data Science,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China)

机构地区：[1]南京审计大学统计与数据科学学院,南京211815

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2024年第10期32-41,共10页Journal of Industrial Technology and Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学重大项目“中国式现代化的统计监测评价问题研究”(项目编号:23&ZD036);国家自然科学基金项目面上项目“非现场审计开放环境下高光谱成像语义级变化检测方法”(项目编号:62375133);江苏省研究生科研创新计划项目“中国碳排放权交易政策与省际新质生产力:影响机理和实证检验”(项目编号:KYCX24_2390)。

摘　　要：本文基于2013~2022年我国30个省(区、市)的面板数据,构建数实融合和新质生产力的指标体系,实证分析数实融合推进新质生产力发展的影响效应与作用机制。结果发现,数实融合对新质生产力发展具有显著正向推动作用,并且该结论在进行内生性问题处理和稳健性检验之后依然成立。异质性检验发现,数实融合对新质生产力发展的影响呈现“东部>西部>东北>中部”的差异分布格局,并且人才越丰富的省(区、市),数实融合越能推进新质生产力的发展。作用机制检验结果表明,全要素生产率和技术创新在数实融合对新质生产力发展的影响中发挥中介作用。本文研究结果可以为数实融合推动新质生产力的发展提供数据支撑和路径参考。Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022,this article constructs an indicator system for the integration of digital and real economy and new quality productivity,and empirically analyzes the impact and mechanism of the integration of digital and real economy on the development of new quality productivity.The results demonstrate a significant positive effect of integration of digital and real economy on the development of new quality productivity,which remains valid after endogenous processing and robustness tests.Heterogeneity testing reveals a distribution pattern where the impact of the integration of digital and real economy on new quality productivity development follows“East>West>Northeast>Central”,with provinces possessing more talent being able to promote such development.Mechanism testing indicates that total factor productivity and technological innovation play a mediating role in the influence of integration on new quality productivity development.The findings can provide data support and path reference for promoting the development of new quality productivity through the integration of digital and real economy.

关 键 词：数实融合 新质生产力 全要素生产率 技术创新 数字经济 实体经济 人才保障 区域协调发展 

分 类 号：F120.4[经济管理—世界经济] F49