基于EW-AHP与未确知测度的商业综合体火灾应急预案评估  

Evaluation of fire emergency plan for commercial complex based on EW-AHP and uncertainty measurement

作　　者：苟鹏飞 张立宁 韩国波 安晶[3] 国蛟倩 GOU Pengfei;ZHANG Lining;HAN Guobo;AN Jing;GUO Jiaoqian(State Key Laboratory of Explosion Science and Technology,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;Architectural Engineering College,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Sanhe Hebei 065201,China;Telecommunications College,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Sanhe Hebei 065201,China)

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学爆炸科学与技术国家重点实验室,北京100081 [2]华北科技学院建筑工程学院,河北三河065201 [3]华北科技学院电信学院,河北三河065201

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2024年第9期150-155,共6页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3005701);华北科技学院省级国际科技基地项目(20594501D);河北省高等学校科学技术研究项目(Z2020117);2021—2022年度河北省高等教育教学改革研究与实践项目(2021GJJG479)。

摘　　要：为科学准确地对商业综合体火灾应急预案效果进行判断,采用熵权(EW)-层次分析法(AHP)和未确知测度方法对其进行综合评估。首先从5个方面构建商业综合体火灾应急预案评估指标体系,该指标体系包括商场消防组织机构分配合理性等16个具体二级指标。然后,以3座商业综合体火灾应急预案为研究对象,进行验证分析。研究结果表明:评估案例L_(1)、L_(2)、L_(3)的评估等级为优秀、优秀、良好,其中案例L_(3)在火灾应急保障方面存在较多问题。研究结果可为城市商业综合体火灾应急预案编制以及消防管理提供决策参考。In order to scientifically and accurately evaluate the effectiveness of fire emergency plan for commercial complex,the entropy weight(EW)-analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and uncertain measurement methods were used for comprehensive evaluation.Firstly,an evaluation index system of fire emergency plan for commercial complex was constructed from five aspects,which included 16 specific secondary indexes such as the rationality of the allocation of fire protection organizational structures in shopping malls.Then,the verification analysis was conducted on the fire emergency plans of three commercial complexes as the research object.Research results indicate that the assessment ratings for cases L_(1),L_(2),and L_(3) are Excellent,Excellent,and Good,respectively.Among these,case L_(3) has identified several issues in fire emergency preparedness.The research results can provide decision-making reference for the preparation of fire emergency plans for urban commercial complexes and their fire management.

关 键 词：商业综合体 火灾应急预案 层次分析法 熵权法 未确知测度 

分 类 号：X913[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TU998.1[建筑科学—市政工程]