中国汽车制造业碳排放驱动因素研究  

Research on Driving Factors of Carbon Emission in Chinese Automobile Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：郝亚星 王坚[1] HAO Ya-xing;WANG Jian(College of Environmental and Safety Engineering,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou Fujian 350100,China)

机构地区：[1]福州大学环境与安全工程学院,福建福州350100

出　　处：《环境科学导刊》2024年第5期1-6,19,共7页Environmental Science Survey

摘　　要：以中国汽车制造业为研究对象,采用碳排放因子法对2012—2021年我国汽车制造业碳排放量进行测算,进而采用广义迪氏指数分解法对营业收入、能源消耗和投资规模等碳排放驱动因素进行分解分析。结果表明:(1)2012—2021年我国汽车制造业碳排放量整体呈现递增状态,未达到行业碳达峰;(2)汽车制造业的营业收入、能源消耗规模、能源消耗碳强度具有较强的促增效应,投资强度和能源强度是抑制二氧化碳排放的主要因素,营业收入碳强度及投资碳强度均为先抑制后促进的作用。基于研究,提出了政府应当引导创新方向,各企业应加大创新研发、提升能源效率的建议。Taking China's automobile manufacturing industry as the research target,this paper used the carbon emission factor method to measure the carbon emissions of China's automobile manufacturing industry from 2012 to 2021,and the generalized Divisia index decomposition method to decompose and analyze the carbon emission driving factors such as operating income,energy consumption and investment scale as well.The results showed that the carbon emissions of China's automobile manufacturing industry showed an increasing state as a whole from 2012 to 2021,and the carbon emissions of the industry did not reach the peak.The operating income,energy consumption scale and carbon intensity of energy consumption in the automobile manufacturing industry indicated a strong promotion effect.Investment intensity and energy intensity were the main factors to inhibit carbon dioxide emissions,and the carbon intensity of operating income and investment carbon intensity were both inhibited first and then promoted.Based on the research,it was proposed that the government should guide the direction of innovation,and enterprises should increase innovation and research and development to improve energy efficiency.

关 键 词：汽车制造业 碳排放 驱动因素 广义迪氏指数分解法 

分 类 号：X38[环境科学与工程—环境工程]