基于集对分析的清流河流域蓝绿水分类分析  

Classification analysis of blue and green water based on set pair analysis in the Qingliu River Basin

作　　者：刘俊杰 高峰 刘翠善[3,4,5,6] 王国庆 冯仲恺[1,3] LIU Junjie;GAO Feng;LIU Cuishan;WANG Guoqing;FENG Zhongkai(College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;Chuzhou Hydrology and Water Resources Bureau of Anhui Province,Chuzhou 239000,China;The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute,Nanjing 210029,China;Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;Cooperative Innovation Center for Water Safety and Hydro Science,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;Research Center for Climate Change,Ministry of Water Resources,Nanjing 210029,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏南京210098 [2]安徽省滁州市水文水资源局,安徽滁州239000 [3]南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏南京210029 [4]河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏南京210098 [5]河海大学水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏南京210098 [6]水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏南京210029

出　　处：《水资源保护》2024年第5期95-103,共9页Water Resources Protection

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U2240203,52121006);国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202301);内蒙古自治区“揭榜挂帅”项目(2023JBGS0007)。

摘　　要：运用SWAT模型模拟厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域蓝绿水资源的时空分布规律,并利用集对分析法解析了多时间尺度下清流河流域蓝绿水资源丰枯演变特性。结果表明:厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域绿水资源分别比多年平均值高12.0 mm和69.7 mm,蓝水资源分别比多年平均值低115.7 mm和138.2 mm,绿水系数分别比多年平均值高9.3%和12.9%;厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件影响时段内清流河流域蓝水资源均属于枯类,绿水资源属于丰类和平类;清流河流域蓝水资源在1967—1979年、1980—1992年、1993—2005年、2006—2018年4个阶段分别属于枯、平、枯、平类,绿水资源分别属于丰、平、丰、平类,蓝绿水资源丰枯演变具有一定的波动性。Using the SWAT model to simulate the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin during the impact periods of El Ni o and La Ni a events,and using set pair analysis to analyze the evolution characteristics of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin at multiple time scales.The results showed that during the impact periods of El Ni o and La Ni a events,the green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin were 12.0 mm and 69.7 mm higher than the annual average,the blue water resources were 115.7 mm and 138.2 mm lower than the annual average,and the green water coefficient was 9.3%and 12.9%higher than the annual average,respectively.During the periods affected by El Ni o and La Ni a events,the blue water resources in the Qingliu River Basin belong to the dry category,while the green water resources belong to the wet and normal categories.The blue water resources in the Qingliu River Basin belong to the dry,normal,dry,and normal categories during the four stages of 1967-1979,1980-1992,1993-2005,and 2006-2018,respectively.The green water resources belong to the wet,normal,wet,and normal categories,indicating that the evolution of blue and green water resources in the Qingliu River Basin has certain fluctuations.

关 键 词：蓝水资源 绿水资源 厄尔尼诺事件 拉尼娜事件 SWAT模型 集对分析 清流河流域 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]