北极海冰模型研究进展综述  

Summary on Arctic sea ice models

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作  者:孙芳 吴宝勤 吴云帆 张永莉 SUN Fang;WU Baoqin;WU Yunfan;ZHANG Yongli(Naval Research Institute,Beijing 100161,China;Naval Research Institute,Tianjin 300061,China)

机构地区:[1]海军研究院,北京100161 [2]海军研究院,天津300061

出  处:《海洋测绘》2024年第4期54-57,63,共5页Hydrographic Surveying and Charting

摘  要:海冰模式是目前国内外北极海冰历史重建、机制分析与预测未来演变的重要工具。通过比较主流海冰模式的关键参数化方案设置的异同,包括主要的热力学与动力学过程、海冰厚度再分布归纳了当前海冰模式的改进情况,回顾了海冰模式结果对于北极关键区域季节变化、年际差异与极端事件成因分析所提供的支持;最后,提炼出海冰模式未来发展的方向,为我国北极海冰模式构建与发展、北极海冰快速变化机制研究和北极海冰精细化预报工作提供参考。The sea ice model is currently an important tool for reconstruction of Arctic sea ice history,mechanism analysis and prediction of future evolution.This paper compares the similarities and differences in the key parameterization schemes of the mainstream sea ice models,including the main thermodynamic and dynamic processes,and sea ice thickness redistribution.It further summarizes the improvements of current sea ice models and reviews the support provided by sea ice modelling results for the analysis of seasonal variability,interannual variability,and the mechanisms of extreme events in key regions of the Arctic.Finally,the directions of future development of the sea ice models are refined to provide reference for the construction and development of the Arctic sea ice model in China,the study of the mechanisms of rapid change of Arctic sea ice,and the refinement of Arctic sea ice forecasting.

关 键 词:北冰洋海冰 海冰模式 参数化方案 海冰热力学过程 海冰动力学过程 机制分析 

分 类 号:P229.7[天文地球—大地测量学与测量工程]

 

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