新疆乡村韧性耦合协调、时空演变与驱动因素  

Coupling coordination,spatiotemporal evolution,and driving factors of rural resilience in Xinjiang

作　　者：许文娟 黄佛君[1] 叶茂[1] 孙景鑫 XU Wen-juan;HUANG Fo-jun;YE Mao;SUN Jing-xin(School of Geography and Tourism/Institute of Oasis Development/Xinjiang Laboratory of Lake Environment and Resources in Arid Zone,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830054,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院/绿洲发展研究所/新疆干旱区湖泊环境与资源实验室,乌鲁木齐830054

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2024年第9期247-256,共10页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(17BSH033);第三次新疆综合科学考察项目(2021xjkk0406);新疆维吾尔自治区社科基金项目(21VZX011)。

摘　　要：基于韧性理论构建乡村韧性评价指标体系,以新疆68个县域单元为研究对象,结合系统结构和功能的关系,综合运用熵权法、耦合协调度模型、空间自相关分析和地理探测器,探析2000—2020年新疆乡村结构韧性与功能韧性的耦合协调、时空演变规律及内在驱动因素。结果表明,新疆乡村韧性空间分布不均衡,耦合协调度呈基本失调向基本协调缓慢发展的趋势;高、低值区域集聚化特征明显;结构韧性均值特征为小幅下降再平稳发展,低值单元呈“品”字形分布,农村居民点用地占比和土地垦殖水平相互作用为空间格局形成的主导因素;功能韧性均值特征为上升—下降—上升,整体上以较低、中、较高韧性为主导,高、低韧性县域零星分布,农业生产效益、现代化生产程度和农作物总播种面积对乡村功能韧性发展格局起主导作用。Based on resilience theory,a rural resilience evaluation index system was constructed.Taking 68 county-level units in Xin-jiang as the research object,combining the relationship between system structure and function,this study comprehensively applied en-tropy weight method,coupling coordination degree model,spatial autocorrelation analysis,and geographic detector to explore the cou-pling coordination,spatiotemporal evolution laws,and internal driving factors of rural structural resilience and functional resilience in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020.The results indicated that the spatial distribution of rural resilience in Xinjiang was uneven,and the cou-pling coordination degree showed a trend of slow development from basic imbalance to basic coordination;the clustering characteris-tics of high and low value regions were obvious;the average characteristic of structural resilience was a slight decrease followed by sta-ble development,with low value units distributed in a‘triangular’shape.The interaction between the proportion of rural residential land and the level of land reclamation was the dominant factor in the formation of spatial patterns;the average characteristic of function-al resilience was an upward-downward-upward trend,with low,medium,and high resilience being the dominant factors overall.Counties with high and low resilience were sporadically distributed in counties,and agricultural production efficiency,modernization level,and total crop sowing area played a dominant role in the development pattern of rural functional resilience.

关 键 词：乡村韧性 耦合协调 时空演变 驱动因素 新疆 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学] K921K927