我国养老资源配置与区域经济发展的耦合协调分析——基于2022年全国30个省(市、区)的截面数据  

Analysis of the coupling coordination of resource allocation of elderly care and regional economic development in China-based on the cross-sectional data of 30 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in 2022

作　　者：孙珮妍 韩芳[1] 郑然 王志强[1] SUN Peiyan;HAN Fang;ZHENG Ran;WANG Zhiqiang(School of Public Health,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830052,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学公共管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《卫生软科学》2024年第10期54-58,共5页Soft Science of Health

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(20XSH009);国家自然科学基金项目(72164035)。

摘　　要：[目的]探求我国养老资源配置与区域经济发展耦合协调程度,进一步推动养老发展与区域经济的良性互动。[方法]基于2022年全国30个省(市、区)的截面数据,采用耦合协调模型探究养老资源配置与区域经济的协调发展关系。[结果]我国养老资源配置综合发展指数(U1)>0.5的有5个省,17个省低于全国平均水平,养老资源配置综合发展指数(U1)和区域经济综合发展水平指数(U2)对比发现10个省为养老资源配置滞后型;耦合协调度仅广东省为良好协调,大部分省处于勉强协调、濒临失调或失调状态;耦合协调度空间特征阶梯状分布格局不够明显,且主要以点状集中分布。[结论]我国养老资源配置水平偏低,与区域经济暂未形成良好的协调互动关系;耦合协调度整体偏低,总体表现为东部>中部>西部,西北和东北地区呈现低效聚集发展。Objective To explore the coupling coordination degree between resource allocation of elderly care and regional economic development in China,and further promote the positive interaction between the development of elderly care and regional economy.Methods Based on the cross-sectional data of 30 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in 2022,the coupling coordination model was used to explore the coordinated development between resource allocation of elderly care and regional economy.Results There were five provinces with comprehensive development index of resource allocation of elderly care(U1)>0.5,and 17 provinces were lower than the national average.The comparison between the comprehensive development index of resource allocation of elderly care(U1)and the comprehensive development level index of regional economy(U2)showed that ten provinces were backward in resource allocation of elderly care.The coupling coordination degree was only good in Guangdong Province,and most provinces were barely coordinated,barely uncoordinated or uncoordinated.The coupling coordination degree of spatial characteristics of ladder pattern distribution was not obvious,and it was mainly distributed in a point distribution pattern.Conclusions The low level of resource allocation of elderly care in China has not formed a good coordinated and interactive relationship with regional economy.The coupling coordination degree is generally low,which shows that eastern>central>western regions,and the northwest and northeast regions show inefficient agglomeration development.

关 键 词：养老资源配置 区域经济 耦合协调模型 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] F719