雷击森林火险区划模型及其在泰山林区的应用  

Forest Fire Risk Zoning Model of Lightning Strike and Its Application in Mount Taishan Forest Area

作　　者：陈乐奇 徐鑫 孔祥宁 刘向科 邬铭法[1,4] CHEN Leqi;XU Xin;KONG Xiangning;LIU Xiangke;WU Mingfa(Shandong Climate Center,Jinan 250031,China;Mount Taishan Scenic Area Management Committee,Tai′an,Shandong 271000,China;Shandong Meteorological Station,Jinan 250031,China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Mitigation,Jinan 250031,China)

机构地区：[1]山东省气候中心,山东济南250031 [2]泰安市泰山风景名胜区管理委员会,山东泰安271000 [3]山东省气象台,山东济南250031 [4]山东省气象防灾减灾重点实验室,山东济南250031

出　　处：《林业调查规划》2024年第5期214-220,共7页Forest Inventory and Planning

基　　金：山东省气象局科研项目(2021SDYD16、2021SDQN04)。

摘　　要：应用地理信息系统(GIS)等平台对致灾因子、孕灾环境、承灾体暴露度和脆弱性4个方面15个指标进行计算和处理,采用层次分析法(AHP)确定各指标的权重指数,构建雷击森林火险区划模型,分析了雷击森林火险区划在泰山林区的分布。结果表明,泰山雷击森林火险区划高风险和较高风险区域主要集中在南天门林区、天烛峰林区西部、玉泉寺林区西南部、巴山林区东部、桃花源林区东部、竹林寺林区东北部、中天门林区北部及红门到中天门盘道区域;中等风险区域主要集中在虎山林区、巴山林区中南部、天烛峰林区中东部、竹林寺林区大部及桃花源林区西部,桃花峪林区东北部、樱桃园林区东部、中天门林区中西部和红门林区大部;灵岩林区大部、巴山林区西部、桃花峪管理区西南部为雷击森林火险较低或低风险区域。15 indicators in 4 aspects of disaster causing factors,disaster pregnant environment,exposure and vulnerability of disaster bearing bodies were calculated and processed by using Geographic Information System(GIS).The weight index of each indicator was determined by analytic hierarchy process(AHP),and the lightning forest fire risk zoning model was constructed.The distribution of lightning forest fire risk zoning in Mount Taishan forest area was analyzed.The results showed that the high risk and relative high risk areas of lightning forest fire risk zoning were mainly concentrated in the Nantianmen forest area,the west of Tianzhufeng forest area,the southwest of Yuquansi forest area,the east of Bashan forest area,the east of Taohuayuan forest area,the northeast of Zhulinsi forest area,the north of Zhongtianmen forest area,and the area from Hongmen to Zhongtianmen;the medium-risk areas were mainly concentrated in the Hushan forest area,the south-central part of Bashan forest area,the east-central part of Tianzhufeng forest area,most of Zhulin Temple forest area and the west part of Taohuayuan forest area,the northeast part of Taohuayu forest area,the east part of Cherry Garden forest area,the west-central part of Zhongtianmen forest area and most of Hongmen forest area;most of Lingyan forest area,the west of Bashan forest area and the southwest of Taohuayu administrative region were areas with low or relative low risk of lightning forest fire.

关 键 词：AHP GIS 雷击火 森林火险区划 区划模型 泰山林区 

分 类 号：S762.31[农业科学—森林保护学] S761.5[农业科学—林学]