中国城镇居民文化消费潜力测度及影响因素分析  

Measurement of Cultural Consumption Potential of Urban Residents in China and Analysis of Its Influencing Factors

作　　者：冯星 赵鹏睿 张晓芸 Feng Xing;Zhao Pengrui;Zhang Xiaoyun(School of Economics and Management,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130000,China;School of Economics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China;School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110031,China)

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学经济与管理学院,长春130000 [2]兰州财经大学经济学院,兰州730020 [3]辽宁大学经济学院,沈阳110031

出　　处：《统计与决策》2024年第18期40-45,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅基本科研项目(JYTQN2023182)。

摘　　要：充分激发文化消费潜力是促进消费结构转型升级、满足人民美好生活需要的重要举措。文章首先从文化消费能力、文化消费需要、文化消费环境3个维度构建了指标体系,然后测度了我国城镇居民文化消费潜力并考察其动态演变趋势,最后分析了我国城镇居民文化消费潜力的影响因素。研究结果显示,我国城镇居民文化消费潜力整体波动较小,且文化消费环境是影响文化消费潜力的主因。我国城镇居民文化消费潜力存在较强的区域异质性,东部及中部地区的居民文化消费潜力较强,西部地区则有待激活。我国城镇居民文化消费潜力存在较强的空间依赖性,人均可支配收入、老年抚养比、少儿抚养比等因素均对文化消费潜力存在明显的空间溢出效应。Fully stimulating the potential of cultural consumption is an important measure to promote the transformation and upgrading of consumption structure and meet people’s needs for a better life.This paper first constructs an indicator system from three dimensions of cultural consumption capacity,cultural consumption needs and cultural consumption environment,then measures the cultural consumption potential of urban residents in China,examining its dynamic evolution trend,and finally analyzes the influencing factors of the cultural consumption potential of urban residents in China.The research results are shown as follows:The overall fluctuation of cultural consumption potential among urban residents in China is relatively small,and the cultural consumption environment is the main factor affecting cultural consumption potential.There is strong regional heterogeneity in the cultural consumption potential of urban residents in China,with residents in the eastern and central regions having strong cultural consumption potential,while the western region needs to be activated.There is a strong spatial dependence on the cultural consumption potential of urban residents in China,and factors such as per capita disposable income,elderly dependency ratio,and child dependency ratio all have significant spatial spillover effects on cultural consumption potential.

关 键 词：文化消费潜力 测度体系 空间相关性 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]