政府支出管理、需求结构与产业结构转型  

Government spending management,demand structure,and structural transformation

作　　者：郭凯明[1] 丁子涵 GUO Kai-ming;DING Zi-han(Lingnan College,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,China)

机构地区：[1]中山大学岭南学院,广州510275

出　　处：《管理科学学报》2024年第7期100-117,共18页Journal of Management Sciences in China

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(23&ZD044)。

摘　　要：积极有为的政府支出提供了促进经济增长与调节经济波动的中国经验.随着新时代中国经济进入高质量发展阶段,应如何继续发挥有为政府作用促进产业转型升级和推动经济稳定增长?针对这一问题,本研究从政府支出结构与消费和投资需求结构存在显著差别的特征事实出发,建立一个包含政府支出结构的多部门动态一般均衡模型,结合中国经济数据从理论和定量上研究了中国政府支出通过需求结构渠道对产业结构转型的影响.研究发现政府支出规模下降和政府投资率上升会提高工业比重,优化服务业内部结构,且政府支出规模的影响更为显著.本研究为新发展阶段政府优化财政支出结构提供了理论依据,也就如何更好发挥有为政府作用推动经济高质量发展提供了政策建议。China's experiences during the reform and opening-up era have presented a novel model for the government to efficiently promote growth and manage fluctuations.As China's economy enters a new era of high-quality development,how should the government proceed to boost structural transformation and promote steady growth?To answer this question,the paper presents a multi-sector dynamic general equilibrium model with government spending structure,based on the facts that the structural composition of government spending is different from that of private consumption or investment.The model is applied to China's economy to esti-mate the effects of government spending on structural transformation through the mechanism of demand struc-ture.It is found that a decrease of government spending or an increase of government investment rate would in-crease the share of industry and improve the structure of services,with the effects of the former being more sig-nificant than the latter.The paper offers a theoretical basis for China's reform of government spending struc-ture,and derives policy implications for the government to further promote high-quality development.

关 键 词：政府支出 结构转型 需求结构 工业 服务业 

分 类 号：F420[经济管理—产业经济]