劳动党八大后朝鲜安全战略的变化  

Changes in DPRK Security Strategy after the 8th National Congress of WPK

作　　者：陈旭 CHEN Xu

机构地区：[1]山东大学马克思主义学院(威海),威海264209

出　　处：《东北亚学刊》2024年第5期55-76,146,共23页Journal of Northeast Asia Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“马克思主义国际关系理论视域下的朝鲜半岛危机结构与理论困境研究”(18YJC710005);山东省社会科学规划研究项目“劳动党七大后朝鲜安全战略变化趋势研究”(16CGJJ02)。

摘　　要：21世纪20年代以来,朝鲜随着外部形势的变化以及国家军事路线和国防技术的发展,安全战略进一步呈现自主性和内生性趋势。单一的外部视角不足以全面把握朝鲜安全战略变化趋势。劳动党八大后,朝鲜努力打造自身安全形势新常态,在国防建设上,实现从拥有核武力威慑,到打造核战争遏制力和核反击体系;在军事路线上,构建更加积极主动的军事斗争原则和新军事战略。朝鲜开始形成升级不对称威慑的安全战略,增加重新设置对话条件、谈判议题和管控局势的能力。持续了30多年的朝核议题和进程有可能发生变化,国际社会需要探索新的朝鲜半岛无核化思路。Since the 2020s,DPRK security strategy has increasingly demonstrated autonomy and endogeneity,influenced by changes in the external environment and the advancement of its defense forces and military doctrine.A solely external perspective is inadequate to fully comprehend the evolving trends of its security strategy.After the 8th Congress of the Workers’Party of Korea,DPRK has strived to establish a“new normal”for its security posture centered its five-year national defense development plan.In terms of defense construction,it prioritizes key areas and addresses weaknesses,aiming to evolve from a“nuclear deterrent”to developing“nuclear war deterrence”and a“nuclear counterattack capability”.In terms of military doctrine,DPRK has defined the boundaries between military containment and counterattack by formalizing its nuclear force policy.DPRK has begun to develope an advanced asymmetric deterrence security strategy,enhancing its capacity to redefine dialogue conditions,setting negotiation agendas,and managing the situation.The topic and process of the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue,lasted for more than 30 years,have undergone changes,and the international community urgently needs to exploreaa new approach to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.

关 键 词：朝鲜 劳动党八大 安全战略 国防建设 军事路线 朝核 问题 

分 类 号：D731.25[政治法律—政治学]