交易收益预期与农户土壤保护行为——基于土壤质量鉴定机构的调节效应  

Benefit expectations and farmers’soil conservation behavior:Moderating effect based on soil quality appraisal institutions

作　　者：沈子艺 王洁丹 陈品 纪月清[1] SHEN Zi-yi;WANG Jie-dan;CHEN Pin;JI Yue-qing(College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210095,China;School of Economics and Management,Changzhou Institute of Technology,Changzhou,Jiangsu 213032,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,江苏南京210095 [2]常州工学院经济管理学院,江苏常州213032

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2024年第4期682-690,共9页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(21&ZD101);国家自然科学基金项目(72203026)。

摘　　要：土壤保护是农业可持续发展的必由之路。本文在城镇化快速发展,小农户长期持续经营意愿低迷的背景下,以江苏省400户水稻种植户为例,采用二元Probit回归模型,探讨了交易收益预期对承包户土壤保护行为的影响,并进一步检验土壤质量鉴定机构、土壤技术培训的调节效应。结果表明:1)农户土壤保护技术采纳程度整体较低,且大多数承包户认为土壤质量难以体现在未来转出土地的租金上;2)农户实现土壤质量收益的预期正向影响现期的土壤保护投资;3)将土壤保护技术依据技术复杂度进行细分后,交易收益预期的激励作用对每种技术类型依旧成立;4)在有土壤质量鉴定机构的情况下,交易收益预期的激励效果更强,而土壤技术培训的调节作用不显著。因此,提出通过培育土壤保护服务组织以显化土壤价值,发展优质优价的土地流转市场,并且在扩宽土壤技术培训渠道的同时提高技术的适用性等建议。Soil conservation is indispensable for achieving sustainable agricultural development.Based on a survey data of 400 rice farmers in Jiangsu Province,this paper applied the Probit model to explore the incentive effects of transaction benefit expectations on contractors’soil conservation behavior in the context of rapid urbanization and the willingness of small farms to sustain their business in the long term.Additionally,the paper examined the moderating effects of soil quality appraisal institutions and soil technology training.Results show that:1)Most contractors believe that soil quality is difficult to be reflected in the future rent of transferred land,and farmers’expectations of realizing gains in soil quality positively affect soil conservation investment in the current period;2)Anticipated soil quality benefits are positively associated with current investments in soil conservation;3)The incentive effect of transaction benefit expectation remains valid across different categories of soil conservation technologies,segmented by technical complexity;and 4)The incentive effect of trading gain expectations is stronger in the presence of a soil quality appraisal agency,while the moderating effect of soil technology training is not significant.Therefore,this paper proposes to cultivate soil conservation service organizations to visualize soil value,to develop a land transfer market with high quality and good price,and to improve the applicability of technology while broadening the channels for soil technology training.

关 键 词：土地流转市场 土壤保护 交易收益预期 小农户 土壤质量鉴定机构 土壤技术培训 

分 类 号：F323.22[经济管理—产业经济]