多网融合背景下轨道交通一体化客运模型关键技术  

Key Technologies for Integrated Passenger Transportation Model in Rail Transit Under the Multi-Network Integration

作　　者：刘新杰 陈先龙 刘明敏 张薇 LIU Xinjie;CHEN Xianlong;LIU Mingmin;ZHANGWei(Guangzhou Transport Planning Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou Guangdong 510030,China;Guangdong Sustainable Transportation Engineering and Technology Research Center,Guangzhou Guangdong 510030,China)

机构地区：[1]广州市交通规划研究院有限公司,广东广州510030 [2]广东省可持续交通工程技术研究中心,广东广州510030

出　　处：《城市交通》2024年第4期58-67,共10页Urban Transport of China

基　　金：广州市“岭南英杰工程”后备人才(马小毅)培养计划科研课题“新时代大城市交通与土地利用协同模型重构与仿真系统研究”(穗人社函〔2019〕928号);广州市交通规划研究院有限公司科研项目“数据驱动的时空推演城市活动模型研究”(KYHT-2023-01)。

摘　　要：轨道交通多网融合发展趋势要求融合多层次设施和多维度需求,建立轨道交通一体化客运模型。在分析既有轨道交通客运模型面临挑战的基础上,提出轨道交通一体化客运模型架构,研究模型关键技术。通过多层次轨道交通设施融合技术、多维度轨道交通需求融合技术和轨道交通多方式竞合博弈技术,搭建轨道交通互联互通一张网,得到精细化的轨道交通方式需求,并模拟了轨道交通与其他交通方式的竞争与合作。以粤港澳大湾区为例构建轨道交通一体化客运模型,该模型解决了4种轨道交通互联互通模式建模问题,利用枢纽客流溯源技术详细模拟了其他交通方式与轨道交通接驳出行链,实现了轨道交通出行全流程追溯,能够为轨道交通需求分析、融合方案比选、方案评估等提供定量化数据支撑。The development trend of multi-network integration in rail transit necessitates the consolidation of multi-level facilities and multi-dimensional demand,leading to the establishment of an integrated passenger transportation model in rail transit.Based on an analysis of the challenges faced by existing rail transit passenger transportation models,this paper proposes a framework of integrated passenger transportation model in rail transit and investigates its key technologies.Through the integration technologies of multilevel rail transit facilities and multi-dimensional rail transit demand,as well as the rail transit multi-modal competition and cooperation game technology,a unified rail transit network is constructed.Based on refined rail transit demand,the competition and cooperation between rail transit and other modes of transportation are simulated.Using the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as a case study,the integrated passenger transportation model for rail transit addresses modeling issues of four rail transit interconnectivity modes.By employing hub passenger flow tracing technology,the paper simulates the connected travel chains between other travel modes and rail transit,achieving the full-process tracking of rail transit trips and providing quantitative data support for rail transit demand analysis,integration scheme selection,and scheme evaluation.

关 键 词：轨道交通 交通模型 多网融合 需求融合 竞合博弈 客流溯源 粤港澳大湾区 

分 类 号：U491.12[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]