中国物流业在国民经济中的产业定位分析  

Analysis of the Industrial Positioning of China’s Logistics Industry in the National Economy

作　　者：陈斌 庞力文 代聪 CHEN Bin;PANG Li-wen;DAI Cong(Institute of Transportation Development Strategy&Planning of Sichuan Province,Chengdu Sichuan 610000,China)

机构地区：[1]四川省交通运输发展战略和规划科学研究院,四川成都610000

出　　处：《北京交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第3期105-113,共9页Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：四川省省级科研院所基本科研业务费支持项目“我国社会物流总费用降低对经济发展影响定量化研究”(2023JBKY04)。

摘　　要：利用国家投入产出表数据,基于投入产出法构建包括拉动产业数量、推动产业数量、产业与经济关联度、拉动能力、推动能力、产业链位置、经济贡献能力、就业贡献能力等8个指标的产业定位评价指标体系,提出判定物流业与其他产业交互强度的相关度系数,明确了物流业在国民经济中的产业定位。研究显示:物流业属于基础产业,主要成本来源于金融业和燃料加工业,主要服务对象是建筑业和化学品制造业。在制定物流发展规划时,应强化物流业的前向推动能力,弱化后向拉动作用;在出台物流发展政策时,应聚焦主要成本来源推动降本增效。This paper utilizes national input-output table data and employs the input-output method to construct an industrial positioning evaluation index system that includes eight indicators:the number of pulling industries,the number of pushing industries,the degree of industry-economy correlation,pulling capability,pushing capability,position in the industrial chain,economic contribution,and employment contribution.It proposes a correlation coefficient for determining the interaction intensity between the logistics industry and other sectors,clarifying the industrial positioning of the logistics sector within the national economy.The study shows that the logistics industry is the foundational industry,with its main costs stemming from the financial sector and the fuel processing industry,primarily serving the construction and chemical manufacturing industries.The paper suggests that in formulating logistics development plans,it is necessary to strengthen the forward pushing capability of the logistics industry and reduce the role of its backward pulling effect;when introducing logistics development policies,focus should be placed on promoting cost reduction and efficiency enhancement in main cost sources.

关 键 词：产业定位 投入产出 物流业 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]