农户耕地质量保护措施的采纳决策及收入效应分析——基于中国粮食主产区的实证研究  

Adoption Decision and Income Effect Analysis of Farmers'Cultivated Land Quality Protection Measures:An Empirical Estimation Based on China's Major Grain Producing Areas

作　　者：池书瑶 卢玮楠 赵敏娟[1] CHI Shuyao;LU Weinan;ZHAO Minjuan(College of Economics and Management,Northwest A&F University,Yangling,Shanxi 712100;Research Centre for Rural Economy,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100810,China)

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100 [2]农业农村部农村经济研究中心,北京100810

出　　处：《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第5期118-130,共13页Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD083)。

摘　　要：开展耕地质量保护与提升行动,是保障粮食等重要农产品有效供给的重要措施。利用多项内生转换回归模型,探索了中国粮食主产区农户采纳耕地质量保护措施对种植业净收入的影响。研究得出以下结论。(1)农户采纳耕地质量保护措施未显著增加种植业净收入,甚至可能导致种植业净收入损失。(2)采纳作物轮作的农户若选择不采纳,其种植业净收入未发生显著变化。采纳其余耕地质量保护措施的农户若选择不采纳,其种植业净收入将显著提升。(3)采纳多项耕地质量保护措施对种植业净收入的负向影响存在协同效应,即农户采纳的保护措施更多时,对种植业净收入的消极影响更显著。基于此,耕地质量保护措施的推广需要充分保障农户在采纳措施后的经济效益,并对此提出对策建议。Conducting actions to protect and improve the quality of cultivated land is an essential measure to en-sure the effective supply of grain and other important agricultural products.Employing a multinomial endogenous transformation regression model,this study investigates the impact of farmers'adoption of cultivated land quality protection measures on net income from farming in China's major grain-producing areas.The results show that:(1)Adoption of cultivated land quality protection measures fails to increase farmers'net income from farming signifi-cantly and may even result in a decrease.(2)Farmers who adopt crop rotation do not experience significant changes in their net income from farming if they choose not to adopt it.However,for farmers adopting other cultivated land quality protection measures,their net income from farming may experience a significant increase if they choose not to adopt them.(3)There exists a synergistic effect on the negative impact of adopting multiple cultivated land qual-ity protection measures on net income from farming,indicating that the more cultivated land quality protection measures farmers adopt,the more pronounced negative impact on net income from farming becomes.Based on these findings,the study suggests that the widespread adoption of cultivated land quality protection measures needs to fully ensure the economic benefits of farmers after adopting the measures,and puts forward a series of counter-measures in this regard.

关 键 词：耕地质量保护措施 采纳决策 收入效应 中国粮食主产区 

分 类 号：F762.1[经济管理—产业经济]