技术锁定生态系统评价研究——以5G产业为例  

An Evaluation Study of Technology Lock-in Ecosystems:An Example of the 5G Industry

作　　者：杨武[1] 孙世强 Yang Wu;Sun Shiqiang(School of Economics and Management,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2024年第19期14-23,共10页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72074019)。

摘　　要：在吸收借鉴现有研究成果基础上,提出技术锁定生态系统概念,对其内涵与特征进行解析,构建技术锁定生态系统要素模型,从系统稳定性、系统中心性以及系统异质性3个方面,建立技术锁定生态系统评价指标体系,并采用增长率循环指数合成方法,结合5G产业有效发明授权专利,测度2012—2021年中美日韩德五国的技术锁定生态系统指数。结果发现,中国的技术锁定生态系统指数呈现出波动性增长态势;美国的技术锁定生态系统指数呈现出先升后降再缓慢上升的发展态势;日本的技术锁定生态系统指数前期平稳,后期波动较大;韩国与德国的技术锁定生态系统指数均呈现下降趋势。As international technological competition continues to escalate,technology alliances or interest alliances dominated by foreign enterprises have been locking China's key industries into suboptimal paths,resulting in technological dependence on foreign countries for certain key technologies.In order to strengthen the locking effect,multiple key technology nodes and multiple technology paths are integrated,forming the technology lock-in ecosystem.Against this background,it is established that technology lock-in is a long-term equilibrium state that depends on the existing path of technological development and leads to economic decision-making failures.At the same time,it is pointed out that technology lock-in is mainly based on the essential laws of technological development,and less involved in market and property rights and other environmental analyses.Therefore,this paper integrates the levels of technology,market and property right,puts forward the concept of technology lock-in ecosystem,and also summarizes the essential characteristics based on its conceptual connotations.Then,from the concept and characteristics of technology lock-in ecosystem,this paper constructs the element model of technology lock-in ecosystem from the elements of technology,market,and property,etc.,and establishes the evaluation index system of technology lock-in ecosystem from the aspects of system stability,system centrality and system heterogeneity.From the China High Technology Industry Statistics Database,Strategic Alliance Database and INNOJOY Patent Database,keywords("5G Industry","5G Industry"and"Fifth Generation Mobile Communication Industry",etc.)and IPC classification numbers(H04,A61,C12,G01,H01,and A23,etc.)are selected,and 30635 patent records of China,the United States,Japan,South Korea,and Germany that are valid and invention-granted in the 5G industry from 2012 to 2021(it takes about eighteen months for patents to be granted from filing to granting)are screened.Finally,the coefficient of variation method is used to assig

关 键 词：技术锁定生态系统 5G产业 增长率循环指数合成方法 社会网络分析方法 

分 类 号：G301[文化科学]