工业智能化能成为产业结构升级的新动能吗  

Can Industrial Intelligence Become a New Momentum for Industrial Structure Upgrading?

作　　者：柴正猛[1] 张培铎 韩先锋 Chai Zhengmeng;Zhang Peiduo;Han Xiangfeng(School of Management and Economics,Kunming University of Technology,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2024年第19期56-66,共11页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72163018,72261022,71964018,71662020);云南省哲学社会科学创新团队项目(2023CX05)。

摘　　要：工业智能化作为新型工业化过程中新的增长引擎,对推动中国产业结构升级发挥重要作用。基于2004-2021年中国省域面板数据,从直接动力、间接渠道、非线性效应等维度考察工业智能化对产业结构升级的影响效应与作用渠道。研究发现:工业智能化在总体上推动产业结构升级,且有显著的滞后效应;劳动力结构优化是工业智能化间接驱动产业结构升级的作用渠道。分维度回归结果表明,工业智能化会促进产业结构高级化,加剧产业结构不合理,对高级化维度的驱动作用强于合理化维度;分区域回归结果显示,工业智能化在沿海地区产生的驱动效应强于内陆地区,主要通过产业结构高级化实现;工业智能化具有明显的积累效应和规模效应,对产业结构升级呈现边际效应递增的非线性特征。据此,从加大智能化基础设施建设、优化地区劳动力结构、发挥地区比较优势三方面提出相关政策建议。The deepening of the new industrial revolution has brought new strategic opportunities for China's development.However,the industrial structure is troubled with problems such as duplicated layout,overcapacity,environmental pollution and technological constraints.In order to adapt to the needs of China's economic development and realize the transformation of economic growth momentum,China's industrial structure upgrading urgently needs to optimize the adjustment of internal and external structure and accelerate industrial integration through external factors.From the perspective of technological progress,the widespread use and continuous proliferation of industrial intelligent improve the industrial technology level by transforming traditional production methods and processes,and thus promote the overall transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure.As a new growth engine in the process of new industrialization,industrial intelligence plays an important role in promoting the upgrading of China's industrial structure.From the perspective of industrial intelligence,this paper explains the intrinsic mechanism of industrial intelligence affecting industrial structure upgrading from three dimensions:direct power,indirect channel and non-linear effect.The industrial structure upgrading is decomposed into two dimensions,namely,industrial structure heightening and industrial structure rationalization,to analyze the focus of the influence of industrial intelligence on industrial structure upgrading.Combined with the theory of skilled-biased technological changes,the mechanism of industrial intelligence affecting industrial structure upgrading is explored from the perspective of labor substitution effect and complementary effect,which provides theoretical support for deepening the understanding of the mechanism of optimizing the labor force employment structure in the context of industrial intelligence.From the perspective of time scale,as industrial subjects and human resources jointly participate in the process

关 键 词：工业智能化 劳动力结构 产业结构升级 驱动效应 积累效应 

分 类 号：F260[经济管理—国民经济]