高碳排制造业发展质量提升研究——基于碳韧性的新思路  

Quality Improvement of High Carbon Emission Manufacturing Development:New Ideas Based on Carbon Resilience

作　　者：梁林[1,2] 郭悦雯 Liang Lin;Guo Yuewen(School of Economics&Management,Hebei University of Technology;The Institute for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Development Studies,Hebei University of Technology,Tianjin 300401,China)

机构地区：[1]河北工业大学经济管理学院 [2]河北工业大学京津冀发展研究中心,天津300401

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2024年第19期67-78,共12页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(22BGL201)。

摘　　要：推动高碳排制造业低碳发展是实现制造业整体转型升级的关键。首先,考虑到高碳排制造业新的治理需求,借鉴韧性理论提出碳韧性的新概念。其次,从制度、技术、经济3个方面探究“双碳”目标下高碳排制造业面临的外部冲击,识别出稳定性、适应性和进化性三维韧性特征,基于三维韧性特征构建高碳排制造业碳韧性测度体系。最后,测算2011—2021年5个高碳排制造业的碳韧性和发展质量,通过回归分析讨论碳韧性三维特征对制造业发展质量的影响。研究发现:碳韧性对高碳排制造业发展质量提升具有显著正向影响,其中适应性影响程度最高、进化性次之、稳定性最弱。根据影响差异,从政府和行业两个视角分别提出相关政策建议。从碳韧性新视角提出高碳排制造业发展质量提升的新思路,在产业治理领域形成新研究进路。In the context of carbon peak and carbon neutrality,China faces the dual pressure of economic growth and environmental protection.Improving the quality of manufacturing development becomes the key to China's sustainable economic development.In fact,the manufacturing industry is facing serious challenges due to its high investment,high energy consumption and high emission development model.Thus,carbon emission reduction and green transformation have become the necessary ways to achieve the development quality improvement of China's manufacturing industry.However,China's manufacturing industry is facing multiple threats,such as rising environmental protection costs,fluctuating raw material prices and declining international competitiveness of product prices.These threats have severely constrained the low-carbon transformation of the manufacturing industry and the quality of development.Therefore,in the context of the"dual carbon"goals,how to improve the quality of manufacturing development has become an urgent issue to be explored at present.Resilience,as the ability of the system to withstand external shocks,contributes to the system by facilitating the ability to actively respond to crises,overcome difficulties,and bounce back for improvement.It provides a new perspective and approach for the manufacturing industry to cope with the low-carbon transition and achieve quality improvement.Therefore,drawing on the general system evolution connotation of resilience,this paper proposes a new concept of carbon resilience.Carbon resilience is defined as a set of endogenous,stabilizing,adaptive,and evolutionary capacities of an industry.The shaping and enhancement of carbon resilience determines the extent to which industry accepts and adapts to the"dual carbon"development logic.Carbon resilience can be used as the underlying governance logic for the manufacturing industry in the"dual carbon"era,and governance solutions for the manufacturing industry can be proposed based on carbon resilience monitoring.In addition,to inve

关 键 词：高碳排制造业 碳韧性 行业发展质量 “双碳”目标 

分 类 号：F264.2[经济管理—国民经济]