数字经济促进农村代际收入流动:作用机制与经验证据  

Digital Economy Promotes Intergenerational Income Mobility in Rural Areas:Mechanism and Empirical Evidence

作　　者：李盛基 吕康银[2] LI Sheng-ji;LV Kang-yin

机构地区：[1]长春工业大学公共管理学院 [2]东北师范大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《科学决策》2024年第9期29-50,共22页Scientific Decision Making

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(20CJL017)。

摘　　要：根据数据经济与农村代际收入流动的理论分析,构建数字经济影响农村代际收入流动的双向固定效应模型,并利用中国家庭追踪调查CFPS2014年-2020年四年微观数据和数字经济发展指数实证分析数字经济对农村代际收入流动的影响路径及作用机制。研究发现,数字经济能够增强农村代际收入的流动性,并且该结论在通过多项稳健性检验之后依然成立。机制分析结果显示,数字经济通过子代人力资本投资、社会资本积累及增强金融可及性三种路径降低农村代际收入弹性,提高农村代际收入的流动性。异质性分析表明,在经济较为落后地区、低收入群体及高学历群体中,数字经济对农村代际收入流动性的提升效应更为显著。据此,提出加强农村数字基础设施建设、加强农村居民人力资本和社会资本积累并增强农村地区金融可及性、加强区域合作与联动等相关建议。Based on the theoretical analysis of data economy and rural intergenerational income flow,this paper constructs a two-way fixed effect model of digital economy affecting rural intergenerational income flow,and empirically-analyzes the influence path and mechanism of digital economy on rural intergenerational income flow by using the micro-data of China Household Tracking Survey CFPS from 2014 to 2020 and the digital economy development index.The study found that the digital economy can enhance rural intergenerational income mobility,and this conclusion held true after passing a number of robustness tests.The results of mechanism analysis show that the digital economy reduces the elasticity of rural intergenerational income and improves the mobility of rural intergenerational income through three ways:offspring human capital investment,social capital accumulation and enhanced financial accessibility.Heterogeneity analysis shows that in economically backward areas,low-income groups and highly educated groups,the digital economy has a more significant effect on rural intergenerational income mobility.Based on this,the paper puts forward relevant suggestions on strengthening the construction of rural digital infrastructure,strengthening the accumulation of human capital and social capital of rural residents,enhancing the financial accessibility of rural areas,and strengthening regional cooperation and linkage.

关 键 词：数字经济 农村居民 代际收入流动 作用机制 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]