IEA国家经济-能源-环境-社会四元系统时空演化特征研究  

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics Analysis of IEA Economy-Energy-Environment-Society Systems

作　　者：胡军峰[1] 王建辉 HU Jun-feng;WANG Jian-hui(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《华北电力大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第5期33-45,共13页Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences)

摘　　要：经济、能源、环境和社会之间存在耦合协调关系。基于46个IEA国家的样本,构建经济-能源-环境-社会(3E1S)综合评价指标体系,并利用改进的耦合协调度模型,对3E1S耦合协调度进行时间和空间差异分析。研究发现,IEA国家2000-2020年整体的耦合协调度呈现波动上升趋势,维持在0.60~0.70之间,属于初级协调水平。若进一步将46个国家划分为14个地理亚区,可以看出各地区空间上呈现随机分布趋势,总体上差异较小,但北欧、西欧形成了明显的“高-高”集聚效应,能够带动周边地区发展。研究的结论强调了促进3E1S协调发展的重要性,建议政府加强政策协同、促进区域合作与经验交流,激励创新和技术发展,并加强耦合协调度的监测与评估。There is a coupling and coordination relationship among economy,energy,environment and society.Based on samples from 46 IEA countries,a comprehensive evaluation index system of economy-energy-environment-society(3E1S)was constructed,and an improved coupling coordination degree model was used to analyze the temporal and spatial differences of the 3E1S coupling coordination degree.The study found that the overall coupling coordination degree of IEA countries from 2000 to 2020 showed a fluctuating upward trend,between 0.60 and 0.70,which is a primary coordination level.If the 46 countries are further divided into 14 geographical sub-regions,it can be seen that each region shows a random distribution trend in space,and the overall difference is small.However,Northern Europe and Western Europe formed a clear"high-high"clustering effect,which could drive the development of neighboring regions.The findings of this study emphasize the importance of promoting the coordinated development of the 3E1S.It suggests that governments should strengthen policy coordination,foster regional cooperation and experience exchange,encourage innovation and technological development,and enhance monitoring and evaluation of coupling coordination levels.

关 键 词：经济-能源-环境-社会 改进耦合协调度模型 组合赋权 IEA国家 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]