A novel comparison framework for epidemiological strategies applied to age-based restrictions versus horizontal lockdowns  

作　　者：Vasiliki Bitsouni Nikolaos Gialelis Vasilis Tsilidis 

机构地区：[1]Department of Mathematics,University of Patras,GR-26504,Rio Patras,Greece [2]Department of Mathematics,National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,GR-15784,Athens,Greece [3]School of Medicine,National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,GR-11527,Athens,Greece

出　　处：《Infectious Disease Modelling》2024年第4期1301-1328,共28页传染病建模（英文）

基　　金：financed by the Research Council of the University of Patras.

摘　　要：During an epidemic,such as the COVID-19 pandemic,policy-makers are faced with the decision of implementing effective,yet socioeconomically costly intervention strategies,such as school and workplace closure,physical distancing,etc.In this study,we propose a rigorous definition of epidemiological strategies.In addition,we develop a scheme for comparing certain epidemiological strategies,with the goal of providing policy-makers with a tool for their systematic comparison.Then,we put the suggested scheme to the test by employing an age-based epidemiological compartment model introduced in Bitsouni et al.(2024),coupled with data from the literature,in order to compare the effectiveness of age-based and horizontal interventions.In general,our findings suggest that these two are comparable,mainly at a low or medium level of intensity.

关 键 词：Epidemiological strategy Comparison scheme Basic reproductive number Horizontal restrictions Aged-based interventions Asymptomatic infectious 

分 类 号：R181.3[医药卫生—流行病学]