高铁车站治安风险评估方法比较研究  

Comparative study on security risk assessment methods for high-speed railway stations

作　　者：闫飞 YAN Fei(Department of Security Management,Zhengzhou Police University,Zhengzhou Henan 450053,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州警察学院治安学系,河南郑州450053

出　　处：《现代城市轨道交通》2024年第10期92-99,共8页Modern Urban Transit

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2021TJJBKY019);河南省科技攻关项目(202102310627)。

摘　　要：文章对突发状态下的高铁车站治安风险评估方法进行比较研究并进行经验总结,以便更好地为公共安全管理决策服务。在实例研究中,使用AHP、风险指数法、风险矩阵法、神经网络法和德尔菲法等5种方法对Z站进行风险评估,并对评估过程与结果进行对比分析。研究发现,除AHP外,各方法均能完成风险评估工作且结果一致,但风险指数法是最优选,其具有较高的精度和较低的资源需求,能够很好完成突发状况下的治安风险评估工作。此外,不同评估方法的侧重点及结果形式存在差异,建议根据各自特点综合使用。研究结论可为高铁车站公共安全管理提供有益参考,未来应进一步加强通用指标体系的构建研究,以增强指标体系对于各种环境的适用性,提高评估结果的准确性。Various public health risks such as epidemics outbreaks still exist,so it is necessary to compare,study and summarize the experience of the security risk assessment methods for high-speed railway stations under similar emergency events,in order to serve decisionmaking of public safety management better.In the case study,five methods including the AHP,risk index method,risk matrix method,neural network method,and the Delphi method were used to evaluate the risk for the Z station,and all the evaluation process and results were compared and analyzed.Research has found that all methods except the AHP can achieve risk assessment tasks and the results are convergent,but the risk index method is the most preferred due to its high accuracy and low resource requirements.It is particularly suitable for assessing security risks in emergency events.In addition,different evaluation methods have different focuses and result forms,and it is recommended to use them comprehensively according to their respective characteristics.The conclusion of the study can provide useful reference for public safety management for high-speed railway stations.In the future,further research should be conducted on the construction of a universal indicator system to enhance its applicability to various environments and improve the accuracy of evaluation results.

关 键 词：高铁车站 评估方法 突发状态 治安风险 比较研究 

分 类 号：D631.4[政治法律—政治学]