风险偏好、交易成本对饲草种植户纵向协作行为的影响  

The effects of risk preference and transaction cost on thevertical coordination behavior of forage farmers

作　　者：郭豪杰 王文信[1] 王远斌 丛耀辉 GUO Haojie;WANG Wenxin;WANG Yuanbin;CONG Yaohui(College of Economics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100083,China;Sinochem Agriculture Holdings,Beijing 100069,China;Sinochem Agriculture Holdings(Inner Mongolia),Chifeng 025500,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]中化现代农业有限公司,北京100069 [3]中化现代农业(内蒙古)有限公司,赤峰025500

出　　处：《资源科学》2024年第8期1478-1492,共15页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71873130);科技部创新方法工作专项(2020IM020905-1)。

摘　　要：【目的】饲草种植户参与纵向协作模式是破解饲草供给不足与产业链联结松散困境的重要途径。本文旨在探究饲草种植户参与纵向协作的关键因素,为促进种植户与市场有效衔接、提高饲草供给能力提供参考。【方法】从内部风险偏好与外部交易成本视角构建种植户参与纵向协作模式的数理推导模型,基于2023年在甘肃、内蒙古等饲草典型产区农户的调研数据,通过多元价格序列、多元Logit模型展开实证分析,并进行稳健性检验和异质性讨论。【结果】①不能忽视内部风险偏好对纵向协作行为的关键作用。饲草种植户风险规避程度越高,越倾向于参与组织协作、销售契约协作、生产契约协作3类纵向协作模式来保障交易的稳定性。②信息成本、执行成本不仅直接影响饲草种植户参与纵向协作,还对风险偏好程度高的种植户参与纵向协作有正向调节作用。③一年生饲草种植户的信息成本与执行成本对其参与纵向协作行为有显著的直接影响,而多年生饲草种植户则无显著影响。镰刀湾区域饲草种植户的交易成本对其参与纵向协作行为具有显著的直接影响及调节作用,而黄淮海区域饲草种植户则无显著影响。【结论】农户风险偏好度高会对参与纵向协作有显著的抑制作用,而交易成本会调节风险偏好的负向影响。应通过线上线下双渠道提高种植户对饲草生产经营风险的认知;鼓励引导下游组织或企业提供饲草产销对接的服务体系;完善镰刀湾区域通讯网络、交通运输等基础设施建设。[Objective]The participation of forage farmers in vertical coordination is an important way to solve the problem of insufficient forage supply and the loose connection of the forage industrial chain.This study aimed to explore the key factors that influence the participation of forage farmers in vertical coordination,in order to promote effective linkage between farmers and the market and improve the forage supply capacity.[Methods]A mathematical derivation model of forage farmers’participation in vertical coordination was constructed from the perspective of internal risk preference and external transaction cost.Based on the survey data of farmers in typical forage-producing areas such as Gansu and Inner Mongolia in 2023,the multiple price list and multinomial logit model were used for empirical analysis.Robustness tests and heterogeneity analyses were also conducted.[Results](1)The crucial role of internal risk preference in vertical coordination behavior cannot be ignored.Forage farmers with higher level of risk aversion tend to participate more in vertical coordination models of organizational collaboration,sales contract collaboration,and production contract collaboration to ensure transaction stability.(2)The information and execution costs not only directly affect the participation of forage farmers in vertical coordination but also positively regulate the participation of farmers with a high degree of risk preference in vertical coordination.(3)The information and execution costs of annual forage farmers have a significant direct effect on the vertical coordination behavior,while there is no significant impact for perennial forage farmers.The transaction cost of forage farmers in the Sickle Bay area has a significant direct impact and regulatory effect on the vertical coordination behavior,while there is no significant impact in the Huang-Huai-Hai area.[Conclusion]High degree of risk preference of farmers will have a significant inhibitory effect on participating in vertical coordination,while transactio

关 键 词：风险偏好 交易成本 饲草种植户 纵向协作行为 多元价格序列 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]