Site adaptation with machine learning for a Northern Europe gridded global solar irradiance product  

作　　者：Sebastian Zainali Dazhi Yang Tomas Landelius Pietro Elia Campana 

机构地区：[1]Mälardalen University,Department of Sustainable Energy Systems,Västerås SE 72123,Sweden [2]School of Electrical Engineering and Automation,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin,Heilongjiang,China [3]Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute,Norrköping SE 60176,Sweden

出　　处：《Energy and AI》2024年第1期265-278,共14页能源与人工智能（英文）

基　　金：the following funding agencies and related projects for the development of machine learning algorithms for different energy systems applications:Vinnova for the project"SnowSat-An AI approach towards efficient hydropower production",and the Swedish Energy Agency for the projects SOLVE(grant number 52693-1),“Evaluation of the first agrivoltaic system in Sweden”(grant number 51000-1);“Evaluation of the first agrivoltaic system facility in Sweden to compare commercially available agrivoltaic technologies-MATRIX”(grant number P2022-00809).

摘　　要：Gridded global horizontal irradiance(GHI)databases are fundamental for analysing solar energy applications’technical and economic aspects,particularly photovoltaic applications.Today,there exist numerous gridded GHI databases whose quality has been thoroughly validated against ground-based irradiance measurements.Nonetheless,databases that generate data at latitudes above 65˚are few,and those available gridded irradiance products,which are either reanalysis or based on polar orbiters,such as ERA5,COSMO-REA6,or CM SAF CLARA-A2,generally have lower quality or a coarser time resolution than those gridded irradiance products based on geostationary satellites.Amongst the high-latitude gridded GHI databases,the STRÅNG model developed by the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute(SMHI)is likely the most accurate one,providing data across Sweden.To further enhance the product quality,the calibration technique called"site adaptation"is herein used to improve the STRÅNG dataset,which seeks to adjust a long period of low-quality gridded irradiance estimates based on a short period of high-quality irradiance measurements.This study introduces a novel approach for site adaptation of solar irradiance based on machine learning techniques,which differs from the conventional statistical methods used in previous studies.Seven machine-learning algorithms have been analysed and compared with conventional statistical approaches to identify Sweden’s most accurate algorithms for site adaptation.Solar irradiance data gathered from three weather stations of SMHI is used for training and validation.The results show that machine learning can substantially improve the STRÅNG model’s accuracy.However,due to the spatiotemporal heterogeneity in model performance,no universal machine learning model can be identified,which suggests that site adaptation is a location-dependant procedure.

关 键 词：Machine learning Global horizontal irradiance STRÅNG Site adaptation Agrivoltaic Sweden 

分 类 号：TK51[动力工程及工程热物理—热能工程] TP181[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程]