新旧动能转换背景下数字经济与南北经济平衡发展  

Unbalanced Development of the Digital Economy and the North-South Economic Divergence

作　　者：丁从明[1] 陈致远 李阳阳 梁甄桥 DING Congming;CHEN Zhiyuan;LI Yangyang;LIANG Zhenqiao(Chongqing University,400044;Chongqing Jiangbei District Finance Bureau,400025;Chongqing Technology and Business University,400067)

机构地区：[1]重庆大学公共管理学院公共经济系,400044 [2]重庆大学公共管理学院,400044 [3]重庆市江北区财政国库支付中心,400025 [4]重庆工商大学经济学院政治经济系,400067

出　　处：《财贸经济》2024年第10期98-115,共18页Finance & Trade Economics

基　　金：重庆大学中央高校基本科研业务费项目“传统文化与现代中国经济发展逻辑”(2024CDJSKXYGG06)。

摘　　要：数字经济发展不平衡造成的南北经济失衡正成为区域经济发展过程中的新问题。新旧动能转换过程中,总体上南方地区更为成功地承接了数字经济的红利,而北方部分地区错失数字经济发展契机,导致新旧动能转换动力不足、经济失速。本文采用南方和北方地级市两两配对做比的方法构造样本,实证检验南北地区数字经济发展差距对南北经济平衡发展的影响。实证结果表明,数字经济的平衡发展可以显著缩小南北经济的分化。机制分析认为,这一影响是通过数字产业直接创造CDP以及提高全要素生产率间接实现的。进一步研究发现,数字经济的影响具有南北非对称性,其对北方地区有着更显著的促进作用。本文从数字经济发展不平衡的视角对南北经济分化进行重新解读,本文的政策含义强调,缓解南北经济分化的关键在于如何给北方经济提速,一方面,需要北方部分经济失速地区抓住数字经济发展机遇;另一方面,政府可以通过合理的数字设施空间布局缩小数字鸿沟,这是新时代促进南北区域协调发展的关键。The North-South regional disparity caused by the imbalanced digital economy is an emerging issue in regional economic development in China.Against the backdrop of a shift from traditional to new economic drivers,the fast-growing digital economy has become a new engine of China's economic growth.However,the failure in some regions to fully and promptly capitalize on the benefits brought by the digital economy has exacerbated the decline of traditional industries,increasing downward economic pressure.Although new economic drivers are growing rapidly,regional economic trends show a divergent pattern.This paper finds that the rapid development of the digital economy coincides temporally with the widening North-South economic disparity and attempts to identify the causes from the perspective of the digital economy.The study's findings indicate that the uneven digital economy significantly contributes to the widening North-South economic gap,accounting for approximately 7.48%of the variation.This conclusion remains robust even after controlling for specific regions.Further analysis shows that among various factors like industrial structure,technology,and education,the digital economy ranks third in impact,following government policies and urbanization.The rise of digital enterprises has directly stimulated local economies,while the effective use of digital technologies has empowered traditional industries,indirectly promoting growth.The North-South disparity in digital resources has widened the economic divide.More importantly,the fast-growing digital economy in the North has a more obvious effect on development,while the digital economy in the South has a less noticeable impact.This paper offers a new interpretation of the North-South economic divergence from the perspective of the uneven digital economy.Its policy recommendations are as follows.The key to narrowing the North-South economic divide is accelerating the Northern economy.Northern regions that have experienced economic stagnation need to seize the opportun

关 键 词：数字经济 南北经济分化 新旧动能转换 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]