Youth voting and institutional change in the post-Arab Spring MENA region  

作　　者：Ali Fakih Mohammad Hammoud Nagham Sayour 

机构地区：[1]Department of Economics,Lebanese American University,Beirut,Lebanon [2]Centre for Lebanese Studies,Beirut,Lebanon [3]Department of Economics and Finance,Zayed University,Dubai,the United Arab Emirates

出　　处：《Economic and Political Studies》2024年第3期318-344,共27页经济与政治研究（英文版）

摘　　要：Using a unique and novel dataset on the youth,the SAHWA Youth Survey(2016),we apply probit and ordered probit models to study the determinants of voting behaviour change among the youth in the Middle East and North Africa(MENA)region in the post-Arab Spring era.We find that drivers of voting vary depending on whether we consider the voting behaviour in the last elections or the likelihood of voting in the next elections.Specifically,socioeconomic variables and some Arab Spring factors are significant for both types of elections.However,institutional variables and personal beliefs only affect the likelihood of voting in the next elections.We also document heterogeneous effects for the last and next votes by gender.

关 键 词：Voting behaviour YOUTH Arab Spring institutional change the MENA region 

分 类 号：D5[政治法律—政治学] D43[政治法律—国际政治]