基于讨价还价博弈的流域生态补偿标准——以西江压咸补淡为例  

Watershed ecological compensation standard based on bargaining game analysis:taking recharging fresh water for repelling saltwater intrusion in Xijiang River as a case

作　　者：李丽 黄伟杰 汪义杰 穆贵玲 董延军 唐红亮 LI Li;HUANG Weijie;WANG Yijie;MU Guilin;DONG Yanjun;TANG Hongliang(Key Laboratory of the Pearl River Estuary Regulation and Protection of Ministry of Water Resources,Pearl River Water Resources Research Institute,Guangzhou 510611,China;Guangdong Provincial Engineering Technology Research Center for Life and Health of River&Lake,Pearl River Water Resources Research Institute,Guangzhou 510611,China)

机构地区：[1]珠江水利委员会珠江水利科学研究院水利部珠江河口治理与保护重点实验室,广州510611 [2]珠江水利委员会珠江水利科学研究院广东省河湖生命健康工程技术研究中心,广州510611

出　　处：《桂林理工大学学报》2024年第3期561-566,共6页Journal of Guilin University of Technology

基　　金：国家科技基础资源调查专项(2019FY101900);广东省水利科技创新项目(2020-24)。

摘　　要：针对单一生态补偿标准核算方法存在片面性的问题,提出基于博弈的流域生态补偿方法,以西江压咸补淡调度为例,分别采用能反映压咸调水价值的水资源价值法和能反映流域上游因调水而造成发电损失的损失成本法计算生态补偿上下限,并通过讨价还价博弈模型确定最终的生态补偿标准值。西江流域上游愿意接受的补偿下限是发电损失成本,多年平均为53.93亿元/a;流域下游愿意支付的补偿上限是获得的水资源价值,多年平均为183.17亿元/a。根据讨价还价博弈模型确定多年平均情况下的最终生态补偿标准为112.61亿元/a。研究方法兼顾补偿主客体的利益诉求,为跨界流域生态补偿机制的建立提供借鉴。In this study, a game-based watershed ecological compensation method is proposed. Taking the XijiangRiver saltwater replacement scheduling as an example. The upper and lower limits of ecological compensationare calculated by using the water resource value method that can reflect the value of saltwater replacementand the loss cost method that can reflect the power generation loss caused by water diversion in the upstream ofthe basin. The cost of power generation loss is accepted as the lower limit of compensation for the upstream ofXijiang River, which is 5. 393 billion yuan per year on average. The value of water resources is accepted as theupper limit of compensation for the downstream, which is 183. 17 billion yuan per year on average. According tothe bargaining game theory, the final ecological compensation standard is 112. 61 billion yuan per year. The researchmethod of this paper can provide reference for the establishment of ecological compensation mechanism incross-border basins.

关 键 词：流域生态补偿 压咸补淡 博弈论 西江 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]