谚语“冷在三九、热在三伏”的气象学验证  

The meteorological validation of the proverb“Cold in the Sanjiu and hot in the Sanfu”

作　　者：周建朔 胡琦[1,2] 楚希雅 张科 马雪晴[1] 姜婧妍 张丽娜 潘学标 王靖[1,2] ZHOU Jianshuo;HU Qi;CHU Xiya;ZHANG Ke;MA Xueqing;JIANG Jingyan;ZHANG Lina;PAN Xuebiao;WANG Jing(College of Resources and Environmental Sciences,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193,China;CMA-CAU Joint Laboratory of Agriculture Addressing Climate Change,Beijing 100193,China)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京100193 [2]中国气象局−中国农业大学农业应对气候变化联合实验室,北京100193

出　　处：《气象研究与应用》2024年第3期74-79,共6页Journal of Meteorological Research and Application

基　　金：农业农村部农村社会事业促进司和中国农业博物馆“二十四节气保护传承研究课题”、中国农业大学“一院一品”项目。

摘　　要：基于1961—2020年中国内地七个行政区域585个气象观测站日平均温度、最低气温、最高气温的频率和时空分布特征,进行谚语“冷在三九、热在三伏”的适用性分析和验证。结果表明,中国冬季气温最低值主要发生在“一九”至“六九”时段,在“三九”时段的发生频率最大为25.8%。结合日最高温度和平均温度分析,“热在三伏”发生频率为61.2%。受纬度和地形影响,整体呈现中部高南北低的特征。This study analyzes and validates the applicability of the proverb“Cold in the third 9-day before the winter solstice(Sanjiu),hot in the Sanfu”by assessing the probability of occurrence and spatialtemporal distributions of daily mean,minimum,and maximum temperatures across 585 meteorological stations in seven regions of China from 1961 to 2020.The results show that the daily minimum temperatures in China mainly occur within the six periods from“Yijiu”to“Liujiu”period,with the highest probability observed during the“Sanjiu”period,reaching 25.8%.Combining the analysis of daily maximum and mean temperatures,the probability of“hot in the Sanfu”occurrence in China is 61.2%.Owing to latitude and topographical influences,the overall characteristics exhibit higher relevance in central regions and lower relevance in northern and southern regions.

关 键 词：气候变化 气象谚语 温度 

分 类 号：P40[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]