外出流动与本地婚姻——农村青年初次流动行为及其对地理通婚圈的影响  

Migration and Local Intermarriage:A Study on the First Migration of Rural Youth and Its Influence on Geographical Intermarriage Circle

作　　者：段朱清 滕嘉暄 DUAN Zhuqing;TENG Jiaxuan(School of Marxism,Xi′an Jiaotong University,Xi′an 710049,China;School of Social Studies,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100088,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学马克思主义学院,陕西西安710049 [2]北京师范大学社会学院,北京100088

出　　处：《人口与发展》2024年第5期109-121,95,共14页Population and Development

基　　金：研究阐释党的十九届六中全会精神国家社会科学基金重大项目“推进以人为核心的新型城镇化关键问题研究”(22ZDA057)。

摘　　要：在生命历程理论的指导下,使用2018年百村调查数据与定量分析方法,探究农村青年初次流动行为多维要素及其对地理通婚圈的影响。研究发现:近年来,“先流动、后结婚”成为农村青年主流生计安排、初次流动时点持续提前,且农村青年初婚年龄有提前趋势;农村青年普遍呈现为“远距离务工与本地婚”,婚前有流动行为的农村青年的地理通婚圈明显扩大,反之则地理通婚圈有内卷趋势;经济发展水平落后省份对农村青年远距离流动的“挤出”效应显著,传统性别观念较重省份偏好省内通婚;农村两性青年成婚机会存在差异,男性时间成本高,女性时间成本较低且仍有缩短趋势;农村男性初次流动年龄越大、流动距离越远、婚前流动时间越长,均会促进地理通婚圈扩大。研究关于农村青年流动与通婚圈的发现为积极推进以县域为载体的就近城镇化提供了实证基础。Based on the life course theory,this study utilizes data collected by the research group of New Urbanization and Sustainable Development in 11 provinces in 2018 to examine the first migration of rural youth and its influence on their geographical intermarriage circle.This study reveals that“first migrate,then get married”has become the mainstream livelihood arrangements for rural youth,and the time of the first migration continues to occur earlier.And the age at first marriage is also occurring earlier.Most rural youth chose to migrate far away from their hometown to make money while marry someone who lives near their hometown.The geographical intermarriage circle of the rural youth who migrated before getting married is obviously expanded;otherwise,the geographical intermarriage circle tends to contract or become more limited.Rural youth in economically underdeveloped provinces are more likely to migrate over long distances.Provinces with stronger traditional gender concepts prefer intra-provincial intermarriage.There are differences in marriage opportunities between rural males and rural females.Rural males took longer to get married than rural females.The older the age of the first migration of rural males,the farther the migration distance and the longer the migration time before marriage,which promotes the expansion of the geographical intermarriage circle.The findings of migration intermarriage among rural youth provide empirical support for actively promoting in-situ urbanization within counties.

关 键 词：农村青年 初次流动 地理通婚圈 生命历程理论 

分 类 号：C913.13[经济管理]