农产品贸易水平对农业碳排放效率的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的检验  

Research on the Impact of Agricultural Trade on Agricultural Carbon Emission Efficiency:Test Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：田云[1,2] 周倩茹 夏锐 TIAN Yun;ZHOU Qianru;XIA Rui(School of Business Administration,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China;WTO and Hubei Development Research Center,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,武汉430073 [2]中南财经政法大学WTO与湖北发展研究中心,武汉430073

出　　处：《四川农业大学学报》2024年第5期951-960,共10页Journal of Sichuan Agricultural University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(23BGL189);国家自然科学基金(71903197)。

摘　　要：【目的】研究农产品贸易对农业碳排放效率的影响,以为农产品贸易的农业碳减排作用提供经验证据。【方法】基于2005—2021年中国30个省份的面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型实证考察了区域农产品贸易水平对农业碳排放效率的影响及其空间溢出效应。【结果】①在考察期内,除上海外的所有省份农业碳排放效率均表现出了明显上升趋势,按照变化特征的不同可将30个省划分为持续上升、波动上升和波动下降3种类型。②农产品贸易的发展促进了农业碳排放效率的提升,且在省域和区域层面均表现出了明显的正向空间溢出效应。③相较于农产品出口,农产品进口促进农业碳排放效率提高的作用更强。④相较于中西部地区,东部地区的农产品贸易水平对农业碳排放效率提高的促进作用更强。【结论】推动农产品绿色贸易,加强区域合作交流;提高农产品的国际市场竞争力,充分发挥农产品贸易对农业碳排放效率提升的促进作用及其正向空间溢出效应;进一步激发和释放农产品进口贸易和中西部地区农业碳减排潜力。【Objective】To study the impact of agricultural trade on agricultural carbon emission effi⁃ciency,and to provide empirical evidence for the agricultural carbon emission reduction role of agricul⁃tural trade.【Method】Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2021,the impact of agricultural trade on agricultural carbon emission efficiency and its spatial spillover effect were empiri⁃cally examined using the spatial Durbin model.【Result】①During the examined period,all provinces except Shanghai showed an obvious upward trend in agricultural carbon emission efficiency.According to the different change characteristics,30 provinces can be divided into three types:continuous increase,fluctuation increase and fluctuation decrease.②The development of agricultural trade promotes the effi⁃ciency of agricultural carbon emissions and exhibits significant positive spatial spillover effects at both the provincial and regional levels.③Compared with agricultural exports,agricultural imports have a stronger role in promoting the improvement of agricultural carbon emission efficiency.④Compared with the central and western regions,the trade in agricultural products in the eastern region has a stronger role in promoting agricultural carbon emission efficiency.【Conclusion】Promote green trade in agricultural products,strengthen regional cooperation and exchange,improve the competitiveness of agricultural products in the international market,give full play to the promotion of agricultural trade in agricultural products to improve the efficiency of agricultural carbon emissions and the spatial spillover effect,and further stimulate and release the potential of agricultural import trade and agricultural carbon emission re⁃duction in the central and western regions.

关 键 词：农产品贸易 农业碳排放 农业碳排放效率 空间杜宾模型 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]