基于层次分析法和模糊综合分析法相结合的采空区火灾风险性分析  

Fire Risk Analysis of Goaf based on the Combination of Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Comprehensive Analysis

作　　者：马豪娟 张瑞林[2] 周银波 赵双 胡冉 雷庆 MA Haojuan;ZHANG Ruilin;ZHOU Yinbo;ZHAO Shuang;HU Ran;LEI Qing(School of Safety Science and Engineering,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454003,China;School of Resource and Safety Engineering,Henan Institute of Technology,Zhengzhou 451191,China;School of Energy Science and Engineering,Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454003,China)

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,河南焦作454003 [2]河南工程学院资源与安全工程学院,河南郑州451191 [3]河南理工大学能源科学与工程学院,河南焦作454003

出　　处：《煤》2024年第11期1-5,共5页Coal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(52174168);河南省高校科技创新团队计划和创新人才支持计划项目(22IRTSTHN009,24HASTIT019);河南省科协青年人才托举工程项目(2023HYTP014);河南省高等学校校重点科研项目(23A620004,24A440002)。

摘　　要：采空区火灾是制约煤矿井下安全生产的主要因素之一。为揭示采空区火灾致灾因素间的权重关系,从人-机-环境-管理4个方面构建了相关评价体系,进而采用层次分析法(AHP)得到各指标的权重值,同时结合模糊综合评价法(FCE)对采空区火灾风险性进行了评估。结果表明:一级指标中,人员因素权重值最高,为0.4404,环境因素次之;二级指标中,隐患检查与排查因素权重值最高,为0.6232.应用上述方法和体系,以淮北矿业集团某矿为例,重点针对隐患检查与排查机制、预防煤的自然发火、矿工业务能力、井下作业设备的运行与检修等方面的井下火灾预防措施提出了进一步的改进建议。Gob fire is one of the main factors restricting the safety production in underground coal mine.In order to reveal the weight re-lationship among the disaster factors of the goaf fire,the relevant evaluation system was constructed from four aspects:man-machineenvironment-management,and then the weight value of each index was obtained by AHP.At the same time,the fire risk of the goaf was evaluated by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method(FCE).The results show that the weight value of human factor is the highest,which is 0.4404,followed by environmental factor.Among the secondary indexes,the weight of hidden danger inspection and trouble shooting factors is the highest,which is 0.6232.Using the above methods and systems,taking a mine of Huaibei Mining Group as an example,the paper focuses on the hidden danger inspection and investigation mechanism and the prevention of coal.Further improvement sugges-tions are put forward for underground fire prevention measures in aspects of spontaneous ignition,miners'operational ability,operation and maintenance of underground working equipment,etc.

关 键 词：采空区火灾 风险性评价 层次分析法 模糊综合分析法 

分 类 号：TD752.2[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全] F426.21[经济管理—产业经济]