中国新型基础设施资本存量的区域差异及分布动态演进  

Regional disparities and distributional dynamic evolution of China's new infrastructure capital stock

作　　者：郭鹏飞 胡歆韵 GUO Pengfei;HU Xinyuna(Institute for Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone Development,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China;Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone Data Analysis and Intelligent Decision Making Laboratory,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China;School of Economics,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China;School of Management,Chongqing University of Science and Technology,Chongqing 401331,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院,重庆400067 [2]重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈数据分析与智能决策实验室,重庆400067 [3]重庆工商大学经济学院,重庆400067 [4]重庆科技大学管理学院,重庆401331

出　　处：《中国软科学》2024年第10期96-108,共13页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(21CJL013);重庆市统计科研重点项目(2024ky06);重庆市教委科学技术研究青年项目(KJQN202400823);重庆市教育科学规划重点项目(2021-GX-020);重庆市高等教育教学改革重点项目(232084);中国博士后科学基金第74批面上项目(2023M740457);重庆市博士后特别资助项目(2023COBSHTB2037);重庆工商大学高层次人才引进项目(2155009)。

摘　　要：运用永续盘存法的非传统途径,审慎测算出2003-2021年中国新型基础设施的全套资本存量,进一步分析其区域差异和分布动态演进。研究发现,新型基础设施资本存量以年均14.56%的增长率快速攀升,到2021年高达8.12万亿元。其中,创新基础设施的资本存量处于首位,信息基础设施居次,融合基础设施最小。新型基础设施资本存量的总体差异、在中西部地区的内部差异,以及在东~中部、中~西部地区之间的差异均呈波动下降趋势,如此差异产生的最主要来源是区域间差异。就分布动态演进而言,新型基础设施资本存量具有较为明显的极化特征,存在逐渐增强的正向空间聚集现象,全国整体以及三大区域都存在绝对β收敛趋势,其收敛速度先增加、后减小。同时,信息、创新基础设施资本存量具有绝对β收敛特征,而融合基础设施具有发散特征。Using the non-traditional approach of the perpetual inventory method,this paper prudently measures the full set of capital stock of China's new infrastructures from 2003-2021,and further analyzes its regional dfferences and distribution dynamic evolution.It is found that the capital stock of new infrastructure climbs rapidly at an average annual growth rate of 14.56%,reaching as high as 8.12 trillion yuan by 2021.Among them,the capital stock of innovation infrastructure is in the first place,followed by information infrastructure,and convergence infrastructure is the smallest.The overall difference,the differences within the central and western regions,and the differences between the eastcentral and central-western regions in the capital stock of new infrastructure all show a fluctuating downward trend,and the most important source of such a difference is the inter-regional difference.As far as the distribution dynamic evolution is concerned,the capital stock of new infrastructure has more obvious polarization characteristics,with gradually increasing positive spatial aggregation phenomenon,and there is a trend of absoluteβ-convergence in the whole country as well as in the three major regions,with the rate of convergence increasing firstly and then decreasing.At the same time,the capital stock of information and innovation infrastructure is characterized by absoluteβ-convergence,while convergence infrastructure is characterized by divergence.

关 键 词：新型基础设施 资本存量 区域差异 动态演进 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]