How to auction carbon emission allowances?A dynamic simulation analysis of spatiotemporal heterogeneity  

作　　者：Xianyu YU Luxi XU Dequn ZHOU Qunwei WANG Xiuzhi SANG Xinhuan HUANG 

机构地区：[1]College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China [2]Research Centre for Soft Energy Science,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China [3]SchoolofEconomics,FujianNormalUniversity,Fuzhou350117,China

出　　处：《Frontiers of Engineering Management》2024年第3期430-454,共25页工程管理前沿（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(Grant No.22FGLB029);the National Nature Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.72274094,72371129,71834003);Project of the Ministry of Education of China(Grant No.202200337);the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant Nos.NR2021002 and NS2022074).

摘　　要：There is notable variability in carbon emission reduction efforts across different provinces in China,underscoring the need for effective strategies to implement carbon emission allowance auctions.These auctions,as opposed to free allocations,could be more aligned with the principle of“polluter pays.”Focusing on three diverse regions—Ningxia,Beijing,and Zhejiang—this study employs a system dynamics simulation model to explore markets for carbon emissions and green certificates trading.The aim is to determine the optimal timing and appropriate policy intensities for auction introduction.Key findings include:(1)Optimal auction strategies differ among the provinces,recommending immediate implementation in Beijing,followed by Ningxia and Zhejiang.(2)In Ningxia,there’s a potential for a 6.20%increase in GDP alongside a 21.59%reduction in carbon emissions,suggesting a feasible harmony between environmental and economic objectives.(3)Market-related policy variables,such as total carbon allowances and Renewable Portfolio Standards,significantly influence the optimal auction strategies but have minimal effect on carbon auction prices.

关 键 词：carbon allowances carbon allowance auctions carbon emissions trading Renewable Portfolio Standard system dynamics 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F426.61[经济管理—产业经济]