Research on the Relationship Between Average Cigarette Price per Box and Government Procurement in City A Based on a Regression Model  

作　　者：Yao Nie Hongbo Wan Mingming Mao 

机构地区：[1]Guizhou University for Nationalities,Anshun 561000,Guizhou Province,China [2]Anshun City Branch of Guizhou Tobacco Company,Anshun 561000,Guizhou Province,China [3]Guizhou Normal University,Anshun 561000,Guizhou Province,China

出　　处：《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》2024年第5期68-72,共5页商业经济研究（百图）

基　　金：National Social Science Fund Project“Research on the Operational Risks and Prevention of Government Procurement of Community Services Project System”(Project No.21CSH018);Research and Application of SDM Cigarette Supply Strategy Based on Consumer Data Analysis(Project No.2023ASXM07)。

摘　　要：This study aims to analyze and predict the relationship between the average price per box in the cigarette market of City A and government procurement,providing a scientific basis and support for decision-making.By reviewing relevant theories and literature,qualitative prediction methods,regression prediction models,and other related theories were explored.Through the analysis of annual cigarette sales data and government procurement data in City A,a comprehensive understanding of the development of the tobacco industry and the economic trends of tobacco companies in the county was obtained.By predicting and analyzing the average price per box of cigarette sales across different years,corresponding prediction results were derived and compared with actual sales data.The prediction results indicate that the correlation coefficient between the average price per box of cigarette sales and government procurement is 0.982,implying that government procurement accounts for 96.4%of the changes in the average price per box of cigarettes.These findings offer an in-depth exploration of the relationship between the average price per box of cigarettes in City A and government procurement,providing a scientific foundation for corporate decision-making and market operations.

关 键 词：Cigarette marketing Regression model Predictive model Government purchasing 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]