“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资提升中国价值链地位研究——基于增加值贸易核算的角度  

Upgrading China’s Position in the Value Chains by Direct Investment in Countries Along the“Belt and Road”——From the Perspective Value-Added Trade Accounting

作　　者：孙利娟[1] 邢小军[1] Sun Lijuan;Xing Xiaojun(School of International Trade and Economics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学国际经济贸易学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《黑河学院学报》2024年第10期4-8,15,共6页Journal of Heihe University

基　　金：安徽省哲学社会科学规划办项目“中国对外直接投资与‘一带一路’沿线国家减贫:机制、效应与评估”(AHSKY2021D51)。

摘　　要：基于增加值贸易核算方法,使用TiVA(2018)数据,计算中国价值链地位,并与世界平均水平进行对比。结果显示:2005—2016年间,中国的国内增加值出口率从73.7%提升到了83.3%,中国的价值链地位不断提升。采集49个“一带一路”沿线国家2005—2014年面板数据对理论机制进行实证检验,结果证明:中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资对中国的价值链地位有显著提升作用,其中,产业转移、需求增长及营销促进都起到显著的正向作用,营销促进的提升作用相对较大,逆向技术溢出效应作用为负。Based on the TiVA(2018)database,we used the value-added accounting method to calculate the position of Chinese value chains(GVCs)by comparing it with the world average.The results show that China’s export rate of domestic value added increased from 73.7%to 83.3%from the year of 2005 to 2016,and that its position in the value chains has been improved in the period.In the study,the panel data of 49 countries along the“Belt and Road”from 2005 to 2014 were collected to empirically test the theoretical mechanism.The results show that:China’s direct investment in the countries along the“Belt and Road”has a signifi cant role of on improving China’s value chain position;among them,industrial transfer,demand growth and marketing promotion all play a signifi cant positive role;marketing promotion has a relatively large enhancement role,and the reverse technology spillover manifests negative eff ect.

关 键 词：中国价值链地位 “一带一路” 逆向技术溢出 

分 类 号：F125.1[经济管理—世界经济]