美日菲三边合作机制化及其影响  

Institutionalization of US-Japan-Philippines Trilateral Cooperation and Its Implications

作　　者：郑先武[1] 薛亮 ZHENG Xianwu;XUE Liang

机构地区：[1]南京大学国际关系研究院

出　　处：《国际问题研究》2024年第4期37-58,139,共23页International Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“东南亚次区域合作与区域格局演变研究”(22ASS004)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：美日菲三边合作机制化及其向全方位战略协作升级,被认为是三国关系的一个历史转折点。三边合作机制化旨在通过对接美日、美菲同盟和日菲战略伙伴关系,加强三国战略协同,以打造“印太战略”和“一体化威慑”新前沿。但三边合作机制化的深入发展面临诸多制约,主要来自三国国内政治因素和彼此优先事项分歧。尽管如此,三边合作机制化的网络越织越密,辅以美日菲澳四边机制,正成为企图阻止中国向海图强的军事协调中心。这将使中国运筹海上形势、统筹维权维稳及中国—东盟关系面临更多干扰因素。The institutionalization of US-Japan-Philippines trilateral cooperation and its upgrade to comprehensive strategic coordination is regarded as a historical turning point in the relations among the three countries.By synergizing the US-Japan and US-Philippines alliances with the Japan-Philippines strategic partnership,and strengthening strategic coordination among the three countries,the institutionalized trilateral cooperation aims to create a new front for the advancement of Indo-Pacific strategy and integrated deterrence.However,the in-depth development of trilateral cooperation mechanisms will face many constraints,mainly from domestic political factors and differences in each other’s priorities.Nevertheless,the increasingly tightened trilateral cooperation network,coupled with the advent of a US-Japan-Philippines-Australia quadrilateral arrangement,will have major implications for the situation in the Taiwan Strait,the South China Sea and the East China Sea,and bring more interference factors to China’s maritime planning,its balance between upholding rights and interests and maintaining stability,and its relations with ASEAN.

关 键 词：美日菲 三边合作机制化 南海 军事威慑 经济安全 

分 类 号：D871.22[政治法律—政治学]