从“有限追随”到“高度追随”——美国推进“大国竞争”战略背景下菲律宾小马科斯政府对外战略取向  

From“Limited Following”to“Overall Following”:The Foreign Strategy of the Marcos Jr.Administration of the Philippines in the Context of Major-Country Competition

作　　者：李梓豪 葛汉文 Li Zihao;Ge Hanwen(the College of International Studies,National University of Defense Technology)

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学外国语学院

出　　处：《和平与发展》2024年第5期130-157,182,183,共30页Peace and Development

摘　　要：地缘政治与历史演进共同塑造了菲律宾的对外战略传统。自摆脱殖民统治、成为独立国家后,追随战略一直是菲律宾对外战略的重要组成部分。尽管随时代变迁与执政当局差异,出现了“全面追随”“有限追随”等形式,但追随战略在菲律宾对外战略当中的支轴地位保持了大体的延续。进入“大国竞争”时代后,在地区权势对比出现较大变动以及诸多国内因素共同作用下,菲律宾小马科斯政府对外战略出现了由“有限追随”向“高度追随”的转变,具体体现在政治、外交等多个领域对美国追随程度的显著增强。当下,小马科斯政府对外战略的调整对周边国家乃至地区安全已经并将持续造成重大影响。Geopolitics and historical evolution have jointly shaped the Philippines’foreign strategic tradition.The“following strategy”has been an important part of the Philippines’foreign strategy since it got rid of colonial rule and became an independent state.Although it has been adjusted with the change of the times and due to the diff erences of various ruling authorities,which had given rise to varied forms of“following”,such as“comprehensive following”and“limited following”,the principle of“following”has maintained a general continuation as the fulcrum of the Philippine foreign strategy.After entering the era of“major-country competition”,in the context of the intensifying strategic competition between China and the United States,the foreign strategy of the Marcos Jr.administration of the Philippines has changed from“limited following”to“overall following”,which has had and will continue to have a signifi cant impact on regional security.

关 键 词：菲律宾 美菲同盟 追随战略 南海问题 国家安全 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]