基于非合作博弈与ARMA方法的微电网最优经济调度模型  

Optimal Economic Dispatching Model of Microgrid Based on Noncooperative Game and ARMA Methods

作　　者：康明 KANG Ming(Business School,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院大学商学院,北京102488

出　　处：《湖南科技大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第3期93-101,共9页Journal of Hunan University of Science And Technology：Natural Science Edition

摘　　要：由于忽略配电网安全约束,以经济性最优作为目标函数的微电网优化调度存在不足,所得到的经济性最优调度方案往往会导致电压幅值越限、联络线路过负荷等问题,影响电力系统的安全稳定运行.文章以微电网的经济性最优与配电网的安全性最优为目标,提出一种改进的非合作博弈模型,将自回归滑动平均法和场景削减技术加入模型,对风光等不确定性因素进行处理.阐述模型建立的方法与步骤,详细分析模型的原理.使用某地实际配电网数据进行试验,微电网经济调度模型、配电网安全调度模型、非合作博弈模型的对比结果表明:非合作博弈模型更符合实际电网运行要求,既满足微电网利润要求,又达到配电网安全约束,比传统方法更适合电力市场.Due to ignoring distribution network security constraints,the method of the optimal scheduling of microgrid which takes economic optimization as objective function has some shortcomings that lead to the limit of the voltage amplitude,tie line passing load etc.,and eventually affect the safe and stable operation of power system.This paper aims at the economic optimization of microgrid and the security optimization of distribution network and proposes a non-cooperative game model that considers the economy and security of the microgrid,and deals with the uncertain factors such as wind and light based on auto regressive and moving average method and scene reduction technology.The method and steps of model building are described,and the principle of model is analyzed in details.Using data for experiment,the comparison results of microgrid economic dispatching model,security dispatching model and the non-cooperative game model show that the non-cooperative game model is more in line with the actual power grid operation requirements,meeting not only the profit requirements of micro grid,but also the security constraints of distribution network,and more suitable for electricity market than the traditional methods.

关 键 词：微电网 配电网 自回归滑动平均场景法 安全性指标 非合作博弈 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济] C32[社会学] TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]