Myths about Earthquakes:Quo vadis?  

作　　者：Vladimir KOSSOBOKOV Anastasia NEKRASOVA 

机构地区：[1]Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics RAS,Russian Federation [2]Accademia Nazionale delle Scienze detta dei XL,Rome,Italy [3]International Seismic Safety Organization,Arsita,Italy

出　　处：《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》2024年第S01期30-32,共3页地质学报（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the Russian Science Foundation;project no.20-17-00180-P“Development of a scenario approach to the tasks of seismic hazard and risk assessment”。

摘　　要：We are living in a world of numbers and calculations with enormous amount of pretty fast user-friendly software ready for an automatic output that may lead to a discovery or,alternatively,mislead to a deceptive conclusion,erroneous claims and predictions.As a matter of fact,nowadays,Science can disclose Natural Hazards,assess Risks,and deliver the state-of-the-art Knowledge of looming disaster in advance catastrophes along with useful Recommendations on the level of risks for decision making regarding engineering design,insurance,and emergency management.

关 键 词：earthquake seismic hazard seismic risk Operational Earthquake Forecasting(OEF) Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA) Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment(NDSHA). 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]