经济增长、经济波动和社会稳定的关系研究  

Study On The Relationship Between Economic Growth, EconomicFluctuations and Social Stability

作　　者：李璐 张骁 LI Lu;ZHANG Xiao(Longhua District Party School of the Communist Party of China,Longhua District,Shenzhen,Guangdong 518110,China;School of Economics,Shenzhen Polytechnic University,Shenzhen,Guangdong 518000,China)

机构地区：[1]中共深圳市龙华区委党校,广东深圳518110 [2]深圳职业技术大学经济学院,广东深圳518000

出　　处：《中州大学学报》2024年第5期23-27,共5页Journal of Zhongzhou University

基　　金：国家自科基金地区项目“人口老龄化与人工智能双重冲击下的经济增长”(72263008);深圳市党校系统课题“数字技术赋能传统产业转型升级机制研究”(2024SZDXXT027)。

摘　　要：经济运行与社会稳定之间具有复杂的联系机理。文章实证分析了经济增长、经济波动与社会稳定的关系,研究结论表明经济增长对社会稳定的影响具有不均衡性,总产出增长对社会矛盾总体具有缓和作用,但激发了刑事犯罪发生;消费规模扩大会导致民商事纠纷增加,投资增长有利于提升社会矛盾化解能力,贸易增长有助于有效化解社会矛盾。产出波动会导致侵犯公民权案件增速变化,适度的通胀有利于缓和社会矛盾。建议坚持稳中求进总基调,坚持社会矛盾预防和治理并重,合理设定经济发展目标,加强消费监管,加大对政法设施投入力度,促进外贸稳定增长,推动经济社会稳定健康发展。There is a complex connection between economic operation and social stability.This article empirically analyzes the relationship between economic growth,economic fluctuations,and social stability.The results show that the effect of economic growth on social stability is disequilibrium,the total output growth has a positive effect on easing social conflicts,but it can also stimulate the criminal offenses;The expansion of consumption scale has led to an increase in civil and commercial disputes.Investment growth is conducive to improving the ability of resolve social contradiction,and trade growth promote social contradiction resolution effectively.Output fluctuations can lead to changes in the growth rate of civil rights violations,and moderate inflation will help effectively resolve social conflicts.Therefore,it is recommended to adhere to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability,emphasize both the prevention and governance of social contradictions,set reasonable economic development goals,strengthen consumer supervision,expand political and legal infrastructural investment,ensure steady growth in foreign trade,and promote stable and healthy economic and social development.

关 键 词：经济增长 经济波动 公安立案 法院审案 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]