数字经济发展对就业的影响——基于279个地级市面板数据的分析  

The Impacts of Digital Economy on Employment Based on Panel Data of 279 Cities

作　　者：苏培 贺大兴[1] SU Pei;HE Da-xing(School of Marxism,Peking University,100871)

机构地区：[1]北京大学马克思主义学院,100871

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2024年第10期53-74,共22页Shanghai Journal of Economics

摘　　要：当前全球正处于新一轮技术革命浪潮之中,数字技术带来了生产方式的革命性变化,以人工智能为代表的数字技术由于其智能化特征引发了人们对于大规模失业的担忧。基于我国279个地级市2003-2019年的数据,选取了能够反映城市数字经济发展水平的6大指标,研究城市数字经济发展对就业总量和就业技能结构的影响。实证分析发现,数字经济发展显著增加了城市就业总人数并且显著提高了高技能劳动力就业比重、显著降低了低技能劳动力就业比重。这意味着数字经济在增加总就业的同时也会提高对劳动者技能的要求,因此在数字经济背景下促进充分就业需要对劳动者进行技能升级。The world is currently in the midst of a new wave of technological revolution.Digital technology has brought about revolutionary changes in production methods.Digital technology represented by artificial intelligence has caused people to worry about mass unemployment due to its intelligent characteristics.Based on the data of 279 cities in China from 2003 to 2019,six major indicators that can reflect the development level of urban digital economy are selected to study the impact of urban digital economic development on total employment and skill structure of employment.Empirical analysis finds that the development of the digital economy significantly increases the total employment,significantly increases the employment proportion of high-skilled labor,and significantly reduces the employment proportion of low-skilled labor.This means that the digital economy increases both the total employment and the skill requirements for workers.Therefore,promoting full employment in the context of the digital economy requires upgrading the skills of workers.

关 键 词：数字经济 城市数字经济发展指数 就业总量 就业技能结构 技能升级 

分 类 号：F015[经济管理—政治经济学] F241