中国制造业转移态势分析——基于全球产业大数据  

Analysis of the Transfer Trend of China's Manufacturing Industry:Based on Global Industrial Big Data

作　　者：杨皓森 YANG Haosen(Big Data Development Department,State Information Center,Beijing 100045,China)

机构地区：[1]国家信息中心大数据发展部,北京100045

出　　处：《经济与管理》2024年第6期39-46,共8页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家信息中心青年人才基础研究基金课题。

摘　　要：随着全球产业链分工加速重构,中国制造业面临产业体系完整性和产业链安全、稳定性的挑战。基于全球多源产业大数据,通过构建中国制造业转移指数,对2015年以来中国制造业转移的态势及去向国进行分析。在此基础上,从“主动转移”和“被动转移”的角度进一步挖掘我国制造业转移的模式。结果显示:中国制造业呈现持续转移态势,其中劳动密集型企业依然面临较严重的转移风险,东南亚以及墨西哥等美国“近岸”及“友岸”国家在很大程度上承接了中国的制造业转移,转移方式既包括主动转移也包括被动转移。In recent years,the global industrial chain restructuring has accelerated the evolution of the global manufacturing industry,and the global manufacturing transfer has undergone drastic changes.By constructing an industrial relocation index,this study analyzes the relocation trend and target country of China's manufacturing industry since 2015.On this basis,further,explore the modes of man-ufacturing transfer in China from the perspectives of"active transfer"and"passive transfer".The results show that China's manufac-turing industry is showing a continuous trend of transfer,with labor-intensive enterprises still facing serious transfer risks.Southeast A-sia,Mexico,and other"coastal"and"friendly"countries in the United States have largely undertaken China's manufacturing transfer,including both active and passive transfer methods.

关 键 词：制造业 转移 跨国并购 绿地投资 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]