能源效率提升及干中学效果对我国碳达峰进程的影响——基于内生增长模型的碳脱钩弹性分析  

The Influence of Energy Efficiency Improvement and Learning-by-Doing on China’s Peak Carbon Dioxide Emissions Process-Analysis of Carbon Decoupling Elasticity Based on Endogenous Growth Model

作　　者：高建刚[1] 徐凯 GAO Jiangang;XU Kai(School of Business,Liaocheng University,Liaocheng 252000,China)

机构地区：[1]聊城大学商学院,山东聊城252000

出　　处：《渭南师范学院学报》2024年第11期52-63,共12页Journal of Weinan Normal University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目:黄河流域“水-能源-粮食”纽带系统与生态系统协同安全的机制与路径研究(20BJY074)。

摘　　要：我国推进碳达峰进程与发达国家面临的国情不同,必须坚持自主的科技减碳策略和科技减碳路径。通过构建内生增长模型,借用碳脱钩弹性的概念,分析能源科技(节能科技、能源投入替代科技、碳移除科技)对我国碳达峰进程的影响机理,并实证模拟了GDP基准增长、高速增长、低速增长三种情境下能源效率提升及干中学效果对我国碳达峰进程的影响。结果发现,能源效率年均增长率水平是影响碳达峰进程的重要因素,能效水平越高,碳达峰时间越提前实现,政府减碳行动带来的干中学效果有助于提前实现碳达峰。研究建议,重视战略规划导向作用,及早推动碳达峰进程;持续推动节能和能源效率提升;完善能源市场体制改革,有序推动能源结构清洁低碳转型;全面提升节能意识,促进节能减碳行动。China’s promotion of peak carbon dioxide emissions process is different from the national conditions faced by developed countries,so we must adhere to the independent strategy and path of carbon reduction by science and technolo-gy.By building an endogenous growth model and borrowing the concept of carbon decoupling elasticity,this paper analyzes the influence mechanism of energy technology(energy-saving technology,energy investment alternative technology and car-bon removal technology)on China’s peak carbon dioxide emissions process,and empirically simulates the influence of ener-gy efficiency improvement and learning by doing effect on China’s peak carbon dioxide emissions process in three situations of GDP benchmark growth,high-speed growth and low-speed growth.The results show that the average annual growth rate of energy efficiency is an important factor affecting the peak carbon dioxide emissions process.The higher the energy efficien-cy level,the earlier the peak carbon dioxide emissions time will be realized.The effect of learning by doing brought by the government’s carbon reduction action will help to realize the peak carbon dioxide emissions ahead of schedule.It is suggest-ed that we should pay attention to the guiding role of strategic planning in promoting the peak carbon dioxide emissions pro-cess as early as possible,specifically we should promote energy conservation and energy efficiency continuously,improve the reform of energy market system and promote the clean and low-carbon transformation of energy structure orderly,and raise awareness of energy conservation and promote actions of energy conservation and carbon reduction Comprehensively.

关 键 词：能源效率 干中学 碳脱钩弹性 碳达峰 能源结构清洁化 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]