进出口贸易总额影响因素研究——基于云南省的实证分析  

Research on Factors Affecting Total Import and Export Trade——An Empirical Analysis Based on Yunnan Province

作　　者：王晓静 WANG Xiao-jing(School of Traffic Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学交通工程学院,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《江苏商论》2024年第11期61-65,共5页Jiangsu Commercial Forum

摘　　要：本文旨在探究云南省进出口贸易总额的影响因素,选取2000—2021年的经济数据,从宏观经济、货物运输、对外开放三个方面选取相应的因素,建立多元线性回归模型进行实证研究。结果表明,地区生产总值(地区GDP)、人民币对美元汇率、公路货运量、城镇居民人均可支配收入和贸易开放度均对云南省进出口贸易总额存在显著的影响,最后基于实证结果给出建议。This article aims to explore the influencing factors of the total import and export trade volume in Yunnan Province.Economic data from 2000 to 2021 are selected,and corresponding factors are selected from three aspects:macroeconomics,freight transportation,and opening up to the outside world.A multiple linear regression model is established for empirical research.The results indicate that regional gross domestic product(GDP),RMB exchange rate against the US dollar,road freight volume,per capita disposable income of urban residents,and trade openness all have a significant impact on the total import and export trade of Yunnan Province.Finally,based on the empirical results,recommendations are provided.

关 键 词：进出口贸易 影响因素 云南省 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]