基于模糊D-S证据推理的城市轨道交通线路规划评价研究  

Urban Rail Transit Line Planning Evaluation Based on Fuzzy D-S Evidence Reasoning

作　　者：贺小宇 李芙蓉 李新新 黄文成[3] HE Xiaoyu;LI Furong;LI Xinxin;HUANG Wencheng(Shaanxi Xixian Fire Brigade,Xianyang 712000,China;China Communications Chengdu Rail Transit Investment and Construction Co.,LTD,Chengdu 610041,China;School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 611756,China)

机构地区：[1]陕西省西咸消防支队,陕西咸阳712000 [2]中交成都轨道交通投资建设有限公司,四川成都610041 [3]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都611756

出　　处：《综合运输》2024年第10期108-118,共11页China Transportation Review

摘　　要：城市轨道交通规划建设是保证城市经济、政治、文化以及应急安全等各方面持续发展的重要基础。随着我国综合国力的提升,城市轨道交通网络日益复杂,原有的评价指标体系对现有的线路网络运营状况不能更准确合理的进行评价,因此,亟需建立新的评价指标体系并辅以相应的评价方法进行线路以及路网的规划运营评价研究。基于此,本文从使用者、运营者、建设者等多个角度的关注问题出发,建立城市轨道交通规划评价指标体系。在评价方法上,综合分析现有评价方法存在的利弊,确定使用模糊理论与D-S证据推理方法相结合的方式,得到模糊D-S证据推理方法进行城市轨道交通线路规划评价研究。The planning and construction of urban rail transit is an important foundation for ensuring the sustainable development of urban economy,politics,culture,and other aspects.With the improvement of China's comprehensive national strength,the urban rail transit network is becoming increasingly complex.The original evaluation index system cannot accurately and reasonably evaluate the operation status of the existing line network.Therefore,it is urgent to establish a new evaluation index system and supplement it with corresponding evaluation methods to conduct research on the planning and operation evaluation of lines and road networks.Based on this,this article establishes an evaluation index system for urban rail transit planning from multiple perspectives such as users,operators,and builders.In terms of evaluation methods,a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of existing evaluation methods is conducted,and a combination of fuzzy theory and D-S evidence reasoning method is determined to obtain the fuzzy D-S evidence reasoning method for urban rail transit line planning evaluation research.

关 键 词：城市轨道交通 线路规划 模糊D-S证据推理 运营评价 

分 类 号：U239.5[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]