我国居民劳动代际替代的家庭生产效应研究  

A Study on the Household Production Effect of Intergenerational Substitution on Labor of Chinese Residents

作　　者：杨先明[1] 恭希言 Yang Xianming;Gong Xiyan

机构地区：[1]云南大学发展研究院

出　　处：《财经科学》2024年第10期134-148,共15页Finance & Economics

基　　金：云南省哲学社会科学专家工作站(2022GZZH01);国家社会科学基金项目“基于准技术前沿的我国创新发展实现路径与制度保证研究”(19BJL014)的资助。

摘　　要：第七次人口普查显示我国劳动力结构正在发生迅速转变。在抚养比不断上升的背景下,为疏解抚养负担,我国居民以劳动代际替代方式,推动家庭生产实践活动转变。对其机制与结果的探讨,需置于统一的理论框架下进行讨论,本文通过构建家庭分工内生化的OLG模型,利用CFPS数据开展实证检验。结果表明,劳动代际替代通过三个主要的机制产生家庭生产效应:(1)通过提高劳动参与率提升人力资本;(2)由于预期健康成本上升提高储蓄动机;(3)减少陪伴时间将不利于早期人力资本形成,导致复杂的代际累积效应。The seventh population census reveals a swift transition in the workforce composition.Against the backdrop of a rising dependency ratio,Chinese residents have formed intergenerational labor substitution to ease the caregiving burden,which has driven the transformation of family production practices.To explore its mechanisms and outcomes,a unified theoretical framework is needed.This paper constructs an OLG model of endogenous household division of labor and uses CFPS data to conduct empirical tests.The results show that the family production effects of intergenerational labor substitution include three main mechanisms:(1)It improves human capital by increasing labor participation rate;(2)It increases the saving motive by raising the expected health cost;(3)It reduces the accompanying time,which is unfavorable to the formation of early human capital and causes complex intergenerational cumulativeeffects.

关 键 词：劳动代际替代 家庭生产 隔代抚养 代际流动性 

分 类 号：F063.4[经济管理—政治经济学]