区域人口规模与基础设施建设的时空耦合研究——以湘桂赣承接产业转移示范区为例  

Spatio-temporal Coupling of Regional Population Scale and Infrastructure Development:A Case Study of Xiang-Gui-Gan Undertake Industrial Transfer Demonstration Zone

作　　者：张鑫 张丹 闫一博 张广森 ZHANG Xin;ZHANG Dan;YAN Yibo;ZHANG Guangsen(College of Architecture and Urban Planning,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China;School of Architecture,Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology,Xi’an 710055,China;Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 210000,China;Shandong Qingdao Municipal Engineering Co.,Ltd,Qingdao 266555,China)

机构地区：[1]同济大学建筑与城市规划学院,上海200092 [2]西安建筑科技大学建筑学院,西安710054 [3]河海大学商学院,南京210000 [4]青岛市政工程有限公司,山东青岛266555

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2024年第5期20-25,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(52078404)。

摘　　要：基于湘桂赣承接产业转移示范区内108个县(市、区)人口数据,结合产业转移政策期间的基础设施数据,分析示范区内人口与基础设施空间特征,建立耦合协调度模型测度基础设施同人口变化的协调性,旨在为基础设施投资和政策制定提供参考。结果表明:(1)人口整体趋向收缩,县域人口外流加剧,但市辖区和部分产业发展较好的县域出现人口涌入,中心化现象加剧。(2)基础设施扩张速度快于人口增速,具有明显的阶段分异。(3)在县域尺度上,仅以邵东、江华为代表的4个县域呈现优质协调,县域整体呈现协调性分化。在市域尺度上,赣州市的耦合协调程度最佳,邵阳市耦合协调程度最低。Using population and infrastructure data from 108 counties and municipalities in the Xiang-Gui-Gan undertake industrial transfer demonstration zone,the research analyze spatial characteristics and establish a coupled coordination model to assess the interaction between infrastructure and population changes.The findings indicate:(1)A general population contraction with intensified outflows from counties,but influxes into urban districts and industrially developed counties,highlighting increased centralization.(2)Infrastructure expansion surpasses population growth,showing distinct stages.(3)At the county level,high-quality coordination is limited to four counties,including Shaodong and Jianghua,with overall coordination varying.At the city level,Ganzhou shows the highest,and Shaoyang the lowest coupled coordination.

关 键 词：产业转移 人口规模 基础设施 时空耦合 湘桂赣承接产业转移示范区 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]