RCEP框架下区域经济一体化的市场驱动力研究——以中日韩为例  

Study on the Market Driving Forces of Regional Economic Integration under the RCEP Framework--Taking China,Japan,and South Korea as an Example

作　　者：朱勤[1,2] 刘玥 ZHU Qin;LIU Yue(School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,China;Commerce Modern Business Research Center,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018 [2]浙江工商大学现代商贸研究中心

出　　处：《经济体制改革》2024年第5期31-40,共10页Reform of Economic System

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“高标准数字经贸规则促进产业链与创新链深度融合的机制研究”(23&ZD085);国家社会科学基金重点项目“发展数字贸易促进共同富裕的机制与政策体系研究”(23AGL035);浙江省哲学社会科学规划专项课题“浙江省重点产业链韧性和安全水平评估与对策研究”(23ZX28)。

摘　　要：以贸易额占RCEP协定总量80%以上的中日韩三国为例,分别从供给端的产业关联度以及需求端的出口贸易效应两方面,研究推进区域经济一体化的市场驱动力;采用Leontief和Ghosh逆矩阵、投入产出分析,对2000、2007~2022年的数据进行测算,结果表明:中日韩三国间产业链关联程度较强。中国在与日韩两国的产业链关联中分别发挥了突出作用,而日韩两国间的关联度有所下降。从贸易效应来看,中日韩的出口贸易对三国各行业的增加值及就业均产生了正面影响,而不同行业的增加值效应及就业效应差异较为明显,其中三国的重化工业和机械电子工业受益最大。研究证实了RCEP框架下三国实现更紧密的经贸合作存在着内源性的市场动能。鉴于此,应在RCEP框架下持续推动中日韩区域经济一体化,优化区域产业链的互补与融合,发挥出口贸易的增加值效应和就业效应。This paper takes China,Japan,and South Korea,whose trade volume accounts for over 80%of the total RCEP agreement,as an example to examine the market driving forces for promoting regional economic integration from two aspects:the supply side industrial correlation and the demand side export trade effect.Using Leontief and Ghosh inverse matrices,and input-output analysis,data calculations in 2000,and from 2007 to 2022,to show the degree of industrial chain correlation between China,Japan,and South Korea is strong.Among them,China plays a prominent role in the industrial chain connection with Japan and South Korea,while the degree of connection between Japan and South Korea decreases.From the perspective of trade effects,the export trade between China,Japan,and South Korea has a positive impact on the added value and employment of various industries in the three countries,but there are significant differences in the added value and employment effects among different industries.Among them,the heavy chemical industry and mechanical and electronic industry in the three countries benefit the most.Research confirms that there is endogenous market momentum in achieving closer economic and trade cooperation among the three countries under the RCEP framework.In view of this,we should continue to promote regional economic integration among China,Japan,and South Korea under the RCEP framework,optimize the complementarity and integration of regional industrial chains,and leverage the value-added and employment effects of export trade.

关 键 词：RCEP协定 经济一体化 全球投入产出表 产业链关联 出口贸易效应 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]